The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Peñarol de Montevideo 52.6%
Draw 26.4%
Montevideo City Torque 21%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38%
24%
38%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.9%
23.9%
38.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peñarol de Montevideo's performance.
Montevideo City Torque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montevideo City Torque might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (-14.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peñarol de Montevideo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (+17.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montevideo City Torque could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
20%
20%
Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Montevideo City will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 0 - 1, Da Silva N. ⚽,
73', 0 - 2, Da Silva N. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 4.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Peñarol could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Peñarol has faced a series of away games on the road.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Peñarol holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Peñarol has recorded 10 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:22 (averaging 1.5:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Peñarol against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 19:16 goals (averaging 1.6:1.3 per game).
South America
Uruguay
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