Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 3

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Luis Franzini (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Defensor Sporting		Cerro Largo

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	3.6	Watch
	2.1	3	3.4
	2.05	3.05	3.55
	2.08	3.29	3.86
	2.07	3.24	3.68	Watch
	2.05	3	3.7
	2.07	3.17	3.72	Watch
	2.08	3.2	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.13)	3.12 ↓ (3.22)	3.65 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensor Sporting
45%

Draw
29.7%

Cerro Largo
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

29%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Cerro Largo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Defensor Sporting - Cerro Largo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Defensor Sporting will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Defensor Sporting (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Defensor Sporting (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - draw (3.53) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Defensor Sporting (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Dawson K. (G) 11. Agazzi L. 3. De los Santos G. 20. Caballero M. 15. Frugone A. 22. Torterolo A. 5. Barrios G. 6. Amaro M. 10. Biscayzacu X. 9. Machado A. 26. Montenegro B.	1. Moreno J. (G) 21. Pou J. 14. Correa L. 28. Ramos N. 6. Monserrat M. 15. Assis S. 17. Hernandez A. 7. Viera G. 10. Pandiani A. 30. Hernandez B. 9. Correa T.
Substitutes
24. de los Santos L. 97. Goicochea Del Carpio J. P. 27. Juan Jorge 7. Lozano B. 1. Machado L. (G) 28. Navarro L. 4. Rodriguez G. 17. Rodriguez V. 14. Sorondo F. 8. Wunsch N.	22. Bertocchi N. 2. Chocobar G. F. 18. Daguerre D. 20. Franca S. 8. Garcia M. 12. Gonzalez Ojeda P. M. (G) 25. Jourdan E. 5. Marcel S. 19. Sellecchia F. 4. Souza F.
Coaches
Cuello R.	Nunez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Pandiani A. ↓, Jourdan E. ↑,
52', 1 - 0, Montenegro B. ⚽,
53', Ramos N. 🟨,
68', Torterolo A. ↓, Wunsch N. ↑,
70', Caballero M. 🟨,
76', Biscayzacu X. 🟨,
77', Machado A. ↓, Lozano B. ↑,
77', Biscayzacu X. ↓, de los Santos L. ↑,
77', Viera G. ↓, Sellecchia F. ↑,
81', Assis S. 🟨,
82', Correa L. 🟨,
85', Assis S. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
85', Hernandez A. ↓, Bertocchi N. ↑,
90+1', Montenegro B. ↓, Navarro L. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 2.

Cerro Largo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Defensor Sporting is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:17. (average 1.5:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Defensor Sporting won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.2:0.9).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Cerro Largo	9	0	5	4	6:12	-6	5

Last Results with these Odds

Defensor Sporting - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 43.81%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensor Sporting
Uruguayan Primera Division
13.02.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Defensor Sporting	1:1 ✺
Serie Rio de la Plata
17.01.26	Defensor Sporting - Unión Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
11.01.26	Defensor Sporting - Progreso	0:1 penalties ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
09.11.25	Defensor Sporting - Nacional Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WTTLT
- Cerro Largo
Uruguayan Primera Division
13.02.26	Cerro Largo - Montevideo Wanderers	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Cerro Largo	0:1 ✺
Serie Rio de la Plata
20.01.26	Cerro Largo - Deportes Concepción	1:3 ✺
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
17.01.26	Nacional Montevideo - Cerro Largo	2:1 penalties ✺
14.01.26	Montevideo City Torque - Cerro Largo	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
13.09.25	Cerro Largo - Defensor Sporting	1:0
24.05.25	Defensor Sporting - Cerro Largo	3:2
22.03.25	Defensor Sporting - Cerro Largo	0:0
27.11.24	Cerro Largo - Defensor Sporting	3:0
26.05.24	Cerro Largo - Defensor Sporting	1:3
21.10.23	Defensor Sporting - Cerro Largo	2:0
19.03.23	Cerro Largo - Defensor Sporting	0:3

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