Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 1

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday

Location: Estádio Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Montevideo Wanderers		Defensor Sporting

	1	X	2
	3	2.9	2.35	Watch
	2.95	3.1	2.3
	2.98	2.98	2.38
	3.03	3.1	2.56
	3.01	3.06	2.47	Watch
	2.9	2.9	2.45
	3.1	2.99	2.43	Watch
	3	3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.63)	3 ↓ (3.1)	2.43 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Montevideo Wanderers
31%

Draw
30.9%

Defensor Sporting
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

29.3%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montevideo Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Montevideo Wanderers - Defensor Sporting Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Defensor Sporting will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Buffa A. (G) 13. Formiliano F. (C) 17. Garcia A. 23. Olivera N. 5. Queiroz N. 11. Luna J. 15. Mencia Hernandez D. J. 28. Cosentino L. 7. Rivero R. 16. Alberti J. 80. Urretaviscaya J.	12. Dawson K. (G) 11. Agazzi L. 61. Saravia M. 20. Caballero M. 15. Frugone A. 5. Barrios G. 6. Amaro M. 77. Castro F. 21. Wunsch N. 8. Torterolo A. 26. Montenegro B.
Substitutes
14. Acosta M. 18. Baju L. 31. Freitas G. 8. Furtado N. 20. Guzman S. 12. Rio J. (G) 30. Rodriguez J. 24. Suarez P. 6. Zazpe L. 19. Zeballos J.	25. Abella D. 10. Biscayzacu X. 33. Bruschi S. 30. Cuello E. 97. Goicochea Del Carpio J. P. 27. Juan Jorge 9. Machado A. 1. Machado L. (G) 4. Rodriguez G. 14. Sorondo F.
Coaches
Corujo M.	Cuello R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Castro F. ⚽,
32', Saravia M. ↓, Sorondo F. ↑,
42', 1 - 1, Cosentino L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Castro F. ↓, Machado A. ↑,
54', Wunsch N. ↓, Biscayzacu X. ↑,
59', Amaro M. 🟨,
66', Rivero R. ↓, Zeballos J. ↑,
66', Buffa A. 🟨,
69', Montenegro B. (Penalty Awarded),
70', 🟨,
79', Mencia Hernandez D. J. ↓, Baju L. ↑,
79', Queiroz N. ↓, Freitas G. ↑,
84', Alberti J. 🟨,
85', Caballero M. ↓, Cuello E. ↑,
85', Amaro M. ↓, Bruschi S. ↑,
89', Alberti J. ↓, Furtado N. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wanderers won 0.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wanderers won 3 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:25. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Wanderers won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 0.8:0.6).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Wanderers	9	4	3	2	12:11	1	15

Last Results with these Odds

Montevideo Wanderers - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 34.48%, but this team recently wins 15% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montevideo Wanderers
Serie Rio de la Plata
22.01.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Universidad de Concepción	1:2 ✺
16.01.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Independiente	0:2 ✺
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
11.01.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Montevideo Wanderers	3:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
08.11.25	Montevideo Wanderers - River Plate Montevideo	0:4 ✺
31.10.25	Montevideo Wanderers - Boston River	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT
- Defensor Sporting
Serie Rio de la Plata
17.01.26	Defensor Sporting - Unión Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
11.01.26	Defensor Sporting - Progreso	0:1 penalties ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
09.11.25	Defensor Sporting - Nacional Montevideo	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	2:1 ✺
24.10.25	Defensor Sporting - Montevideo City Torque	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
06.10.25	Defensor Sporting - Montevideo Wanderers	2:1
17.06.25	Montevideo Wanderers - Defensor Sporting	0:0
07.04.25	Montevideo Wanderers - Defensor Sporting	0:0
04.11.24	Montevideo Wanderers - Defensor Sporting	1:1
07.07.24	Defensor Sporting - Montevideo Wanderers	1:1
28.04.24	Defensor Sporting - Montevideo Wanderers	2:2
25.08.23	Defensor Sporting - Montevideo Wanderers	3:0

Upcoming Matches