Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Centenario (Montevideo)

Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Montevideo City Torque		Deportivo Maldonado

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.05	3.30	3.20
	2.12	3.2	3.15
	2.27	3.31	3.36
	2.11	3.42	3.37	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.3
	2.2	3.25	3.25	Watch
	2.16	3.3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.14)	3.26 ↓ (3.33)	3.24 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montevideo City Torque
43%

Draw
28.4%

Deportivo Maldonado
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

28%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

27.3%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montevideo City Torque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Deportivo Maldonado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Maldonado than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Montevideo City Torque - Deportivo Maldonado Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Montevideo City will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Torgnascioli F. (G) 17. Aguero E. 3. Silva K. 24. Kagelmacher G. 26. Silvera F. 8. Siles P. 20. Montes G. 19. Guzman D. 5. Pizzichillo F. 10. Obregon E. 7. Andrade L.	25. Segovia D. (G) 19. Tealde F. 2. Fuica N. 4. Ginzo J. M. 22. Ramos J. 7. Larrazabal G. 28. Cartagena S. 8. Gonzalez M. 17. Ramirez S. 14. Tabo C. 16. Cesar R.
Substitutes
15. Busquets E. 32. Caceres S. 23. Dure L. 2. Garcia B. 22. Gutierrez B. 18. Lecchini R. 13. Rodriguez G. (G) 9. Rodriguez S. 27. Taran J. 14. Zampieri S.	9. Bolzan C. 42. Fernandez J. 1. Freitas A. (G) 30. Ibanez L. 18. Mayada C. 10. Noble Sequeira A. M. 5. Nunez L. 32. Petryk H. 27. Sosa G. 23. Vila A.
Coaches
Mendez M.	Di Noia G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Di Noia G. 🟨,
28', Ramirez S. 🟨,
35', Montes G. 🟨,
44', Siles P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 0 - 1, Tabo C. ⚽,
51', Tealde F. 🟨,
54', Silvera F. 🟨,
58', Siles P. 🟨,
64', 0 - 2, Cesar R. ⚽,
66', Ramirez S. ↓, Ibanez L. ↑,
66', Tabo C. ↓, Sosa G. ↑,
69', Ramos J. 🟨,
74', Silvera F. ↓, Dure L. ↑,
74', Montes G. ↓, Zampieri S. ↑,
74', Kagelmacher G. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
80', Cartagena S. ↓, Vila A. ↑,
81', Cesar R. ↓, Mayada C. ↑,
89', Tealde F. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1st in the Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya Playoffs and 7th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montevideo City won 2.

Both teams look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.

Maldonado could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Montevideo City is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Montevideo City has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:24 (averaging 1.7:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Montevideo City against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 16:13 goals (averaging 2.3:1.9 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Montevideo City	9	6	1	2	19:10	9	19
4	Maldonado	9	5	2	2	13:5	8	17

Last Results with these Odds

Montevideo City Torque - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.65%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Deportivo Maldonado - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 28.3%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montevideo City Torque
Uruguay Copa
24.09.26	Montevideo City Torque - Atenas de San Carlos	3:3 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
21.09.26	Central Español - Montevideo City Torque	1:4 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
17.09.26	Montevideo City Torque - Cienciano	3:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
14.09.26	Montevideo City Torque - Liverpool Montevideo	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
10.09.26	Cienciano - Montevideo City Torque	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWWWL
- Deportivo Maldonado SAD
Uruguay Copa
23.09.26	Cerro - Deportivo Maldonado	1:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
19.09.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Defensor Sporting - Deportivo Maldonado	1:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
09.09.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Montevideo Wanderers	4:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
05.09.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Montevideo Wanderers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
06.06.26	Montevideo City Torque - Deportivo Maldonado	2:4
24.03.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Montevideo City Torque	1:0
Uruguay Copa
08.02.24	Montevideo City Torque - Deportivo Maldonado	2:0
Uruguayan Primera Division
28.11.23	Montevideo City Torque - Deportivo Maldonado	5:1
30.04.23	Deportivo Maldonado - Montevideo City Torque	3:2
09.09.22	Montevideo City Torque - Deportivo Maldonado	3:3
19.07.22	Deportivo Maldonado - Montevideo City Torque	1:1

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