Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Centenario (Montevideo)

Referee: Guerrero G. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 2, Tigo Sports App
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Colombia	DSports
Ecuador	DAZN
Italy	Como TV
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Peru	DSports 1611
South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	DAZN, DSports 310
Usa	beIN Connect, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	DAZN, DSports 1


	Montevideo City Torque		Tigre

	1	X	2
	4.10	3.00	2.05	Watch
	4.00	2.90	2.10
	3.80	3.05	2.06	Watch
	4.01	2.99	2.17
	3.96	3	2.14	Watch
	3.75	3.00	2.14
	3.99	3.10	2.24	Watch
	4.00	3.10	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↑ (2.67)	3.02 ↓ (3.23)	2.14 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montevideo City Torque
24%

Draw
31.5%

Tigre
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

29.3%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

29.6%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montevideo City Torque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montevideo City Torque's form might have worsened.

Tigre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tigre's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montevideo City Torque, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tigre, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Montevideo City Torque - Tigre Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Torgnascioli F. (G) 17. Aguero E. 3. Silva K. 24. Kagelmacher G. (C) 26. Silvera F. 5. Pizzichillo F. 8. Siles P. 20. Montes G. 15. Busquets E. 9. Rodriguez S. 10. Obregon E.	12. Zenobio F. T. (G) 4. Moreno V. 2. Laso J. (C) 20. Barrionuevo A. 3. Banegas N. 10. Saralegui J. 30. Elias J. 8. Garay M. 22. Lopez S. 33. Mendez M. 29. Russo I.
Substitutes
12. Aguiar M. (G) 7. Andrade L. 11. Da Silva N. 23. Dure L. 2. Gutierrez B. 19. Guzman D. 18. Lecchini R. 16. Molina I. 21. Perez N. 30. Quintana J. 13. Rodriguez G. (G) 27. Taran J.	24. Alvarez F. 27. Gonzalez S. 21. Medina S. 40. Minniti L. 26. Morales L. (G) 19. Oviedo A. 50. Peluffo I. 23. Requena G. 11. Serrago T. 17. Soto G. 25. Subiabre I. 32. Villalba J.
Coaches
Mendez M.	Dabove D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
39', 1 - 0, Rodriguez S. ⚽, Pizzichillo F. (A),
41', 1 - 1, Moreno V. ⚽,
45+2', Banegas N. 🟥,
45+3', Laso J. 🟨,
45+4', 2 - 1, Rodriguez S. (Penalty Awarded),
45+7', Montes G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Saralegui J. ↓, Alvarez F. ↑,
60', Barrionuevo A. 🟨,
61', Mendez M. ↓, Subiabre I. ↑,
61', Laso J. ↓, Villalba J. ↑,
61', Moreno V. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
65', Busquets E. ↓, Guzman D. ↑,
78', Lopez S. ↓, Serrago T. ↑,
80', Montes G. ↓, Andrade L. ↑,
85', Pizzichillo F. ↓, Taran J. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 1-0.

Montevideo City is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tigre's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Montevideo City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Montevideo City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Outrights of Copa Sudamericana for now

Montevideo City: 8.21%

Last Results with these Odds

Montevideo City Torque - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 35.42%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Tigre - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 35.29%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montevideo City Torque
Uruguayan Primera Division
15.08.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Montevideo City Torque	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
12.08.26	Tigre - Montevideo City Torque	0:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
31.07.26	Montevideo City Torque - Montevideo Wanderers	0:2 ✺
24.07.26	Montevideo City Torque - Danubio	1:0 ✺
11.07.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Montevideo City Torque	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWLWW
- CA Tigre
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.08.26	Aldosivi - Tigre	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
12.08.26	Tigre - Montevideo City Torque	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.08.26	Tigre - River Plate	1:0 ✺
05.08.26	Tigre - Belgrano	0:0 ✺
01.08.26	Racing - Tigre	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
12.08.26	Tigre - Montevideo City Torque	0:1

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