Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio - Round 3

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Parque Artigas (Las Piedras)

Referee: Modernell F. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Juventud de Las Piedras		Montevideo Wanderers

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.25	2.9	Watch
	2.25	3.2	2.95
	2.22	3.2	3.05
	2.45	3.3	3.14
	2.21	3.26	3.28
	2.3	3.1	3
	2.29	3.26	3.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.24)	3.22 ↓ (3.25)	3.06 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventud de Las Piedras
40.7%

Draw
28.8%

Montevideo Wanderers
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

28.5%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

27.1%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventud de Las Piedras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Montevideo Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud de Las Piedras than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Juventud de Las Piedras - Montevideo Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sosa S. (C) 24. Barrandeguy F. 2. Pernicone P. 23. Mas E. 16. Rabino R. 21. Perez F. 19. Cecchini E. 37. Peralta R. 26. Pereiro G. 80. Mimbacas F. 20. Sanchez R.	33. Buffa A. (G) 21. Benitez S. 13. Formiliano F. (C) 23. Olivera Moreira L. N. 31. Furtado N. 5. Queiroz N. 16. Alberti J. 15. Mencia Hernandez D. J. 19. Zeballos J. 7. Rivero R. 30. Labandeira F.
Substitutes
27. Boselli J. 4. Caceres M. 22. Chagas R. 30. Gomez G. 90. Guerrero S. 8. Izaguirre M. 10. Larregui B. 5. Morosini D. 9. Perez M. 12. Rossi N. (G)	14. Acosta M. 27. Blengio L. 29. Crucci E. 25. Freitas G. 17. Garcia A. 20. Guzman S. 70. Levato M. 11. Luna J. 12. Rio J. (G) 6. Zazpe L.
Coaches
Blanco Soto S. R.	Corujo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', Rabino R. 🟥,
10', 0 - 1, Alberti J. ⚽,
12', Sanchez R. ↓, Morosini D. ↑,
15', Cecchini E. 🟨,
24', Mencia Hernandez D. J. ↓, Zazpe L. ↑,
27', 1 - 1, Perez F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
47', 1 - 2, Sosa S. (Own goal),
53', Pereiro G. ↓, Larregui B. ↑,
54', Labandeira F. ↓, Luna J. ↑,
56', Olivera Moreira L. N. 🟨,
60', 1 - 3, Rivero R. ⚽,
61', Zeballos J. ↓, Crucci E. ↑,
61', Olivera Moreira L. N. ↓, Acosta M. ↑,
62', Perez F. ↓, Gomez G. ↑,
62', Barrandeguy F. ↓, Boselli J. ↑,
62', Mimbacas F. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
66', Zazpe L. 🟨,
67', Rivero R. 🟨,
69', 2 - 3, Pernicone P. ⚽,
74', 2 - 4, Luna J. ⚽,
76', Peralta R. 🟨,
84', Larregui B. 🟨,
90', 2 - 5, Crucci E. ⚽,
90:00, Pernicone P. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventud won 4.

Juventud is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wanderers's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Juventud will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Juventud won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:25. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Juventud won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.9:1.5).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Wanderers	9	4	3	2	12:11	1	15
7	Juventud	9	3	5	1	10:6	4	14

Last Results with these Odds

Juventud de Las Piedras - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.35%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Montevideo Wanderers - the odds 3.07 are the expected chance of winning is 30.18%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventud de Las Piedras
Copa Sudamericana
27.05.26	Cienciano - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:1 ✺
21.05.26	Academia Puerto Cabello - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
16.05.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Progreso	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Defensor Sporting - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.05.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Atlético Mineiro	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 TTWWT
- Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division
24.05.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Deportivo Maldonado	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Albion Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	0:0 ✺
08.05.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Liverpool Montevideo	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Montevideo Wanderers	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
02.05.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Montevideo Wanderers	2:1
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
11.01.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Montevideo Wanderers	3:0
Uruguayan Primera Division
22.08.25	Montevideo Wanderers - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:1
23.02.25	Juventud de Las Piedras - Montevideo Wanderers	1:0
25.10.19	Montevideo Wanderers - Juventud de Las Piedras	3:0
06.04.19	Juventud de Las Piedras - Montevideo Wanderers	4:1
03.12.17	Juventud de Las Piedras - Montevideo Wanderers	2:5

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