Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 1

Date: 3 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Osvaldo Roberto (Montevideo)

Referee: Silveira P. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Russia	Viju+ Sport
South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
Uruguay	Disney+, VTV+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter


	Racing Montevideo		Montevideo Wanderers

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2	3.1	3.6
	2.12	2.98	3.5	Watch
	2.29	2.95	3.9
	2.19	2.96	3.63	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.7
	2.13	3.08	3.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.26)	3.01 ↓ (3.18)	3.64 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Montevideo
43.4%

Draw
31%

Montevideo Wanderers
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

29.1%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

27.8%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Montevideo Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Racing Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Amade L. (G) 14. Brazionis 3. Bueno G. 8. Cairus F. 15. Cheuquepal D. 4. Cotugno G. 16. Da Silva E. 17. Ferreira M. 18. Ramirez S. 9. Silveira H. 39. Vazquez A.	25. da Silva J. (G) 2. Lima P. 6. Zazpe L. 23. Garcia E. 27. Teuten A. 5. Queiroz N. 18. Cerro F. 20. Lima P. 17. Suarez M. 10. Viudez T. 19. Zeballos J.
Substitutes
44. Alfaro D. 26. Bosca J. 12. Machado F. (G) 81. Manzur I. 37. Oyarzo Y. 19. Pinela M. 43. Rodriguez A. 30. Scarone A. 22. Severo A. 77. Tomatis B.	14. Acosta M. 29. Crucci E. 15. Garcia 21. Guzman S. 31. Marques C. 12. Rio J. (G) 30. Rodriguez J. 8. Veglio B. 16. Wagner G.
Coaches
Chambian C.	Apud A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Ramirez S. ↓, Tomatis B. ↑,
18', Zeballos J. ↓, Guzman S. ↑,
33', Vazquez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Viudez T. ↓, Veglio B. ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Tomatis B. ⚽,
70', Cheuquepal D. ↓, Oyarzo Y. ↑,
70', Vazquez A. ↓, Bosca J. ↑,
77', Lima P. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
77', Queiroz N. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
77', Guzman S. ↓, Crucci E. ↑,
87', Garcia E. 🟨,
87', Silveira H. ↓, Manzur I. ↑,
90+4', Teuten A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Racing is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Racing won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:26. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 1:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Racing Montevideo - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.04%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Montevideo Wanderers - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 29.87%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
29.06.25	Racing Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	1:1 ✺
22.06.25	Racing Montevideo - Progreso	3:0 ✺
18.06.25	Danubio - Racing Montevideo	1:2 ✺
14.06.25	Racing Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	1:2 ✺
08.06.25	Juventud de Las Piedras - Racing Montevideo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWWLL
- Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division
28.06.25	Liverpool Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	1:2 ✺
22.06.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	2:0 ✺
17.06.25	Montevideo Wanderers - Defensor Sporting	0:0 ✺
12.06.25	Cerro Largo - Montevideo Wanderers	0:0 ✺
07.06.25	Montevideo Wanderers - Plaza Colonia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
05.03.25	Racing Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	1:0 penalties
Uruguayan Primera Division
02.02.25	Montevideo Wanderers - Racing Montevideo	0:0
07.09.24	Racing Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	0:1
20.07.24	Racing Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	0:1
23.02.24	Montevideo Wanderers - Racing Montevideo	0:1
24.10.23	Montevideo Wanderers - Racing Montevideo	1:2
19.03.23	Racing Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	1:1

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