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Current Win Probability
Racing Montevideo 45.8%
Draw 28.4%
Montevideo Wanderers 25.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
46.1%
28.4%
25.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.9%
28.3%
25.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Racing Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Montevideo Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
Racing Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Varese F. (G)
34. Agustin De la Cuesta
13. Alvarez F.
5. Bosca J.
4. Cotugno G.
10. Da Silva E.
9. Da Silva S.
17. Ferreira M.
29. Gonzalez F.
16. Habib T.
37. Oyarzo Y.
Substitutes
20. Bentancor E.
22. Fernandez T.
30. Gadea R.
40. Gallo S.
8. Loprete L.
1. Machado F. (G)
81. Manzur I.
23. Sosa N.
11. Suarez F.
27. Unyicio M.
Coaches
. Chambian C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Labandeira F. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
57', 1 - 0, Habib T. ⚽,
65', Habib T. ↓, Manzur I. ↑,
67', Queiroz N. 🟨,
68', Queiroz N. ↓, Luna J. ↑,
68', Labandeira F. ↓, Urretaviscaya J. ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Da Silva E. ⚽,
72', 3 - 0, Da Silva S. ⚽,
75', Da Silva S. ↓, Gallo S. ↑,
75', Cotugno G. ↓, Bentancor E. ↑,
75', Formiliano F. ↓, Acosta M. ↑,
82', Cabral N. ↓, Zazpe L. ↑,
82', Zeballos J. ↓, Ormeno S. ↑,
84', Bosca J. ↓, Suarez F. ↑,
84', Oyarzo Y. ↓, Sosa N. ↑,
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 11th and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 3.
Racing has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Wanderers have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Wanderers may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Racing has faced a series of away games on the road.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Racing holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Racing has recorded 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:24 (averaging 1.1:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Racing against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with 11:20 goals (averaging 0.9:1.7 per game).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Racing Montevideo
12
4
4
4
15:13
2
16
11
Wanderers
12
4
3
5
13:18
-5
15
Last Results with these Odds
Racing Montevideo - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 46.07%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.