Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 22

Date: 11 February 2024, Sunday


	UD San Fernando		Badajoz

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.88	2.2
	3.3	2.85	2.15
	3.5	2.95	2.2	Watch
	3.35	2.76	2.14
	3.64	2.59	2.44
	3.57	2.94	2.18
	3.4	2.95	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↑ (2.12)	2.85 ↓ (3.1)	2.21 ↓ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

UD San Fernando
26.6%

Draw
32.1%

Badajoz
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

29.1%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

28.3%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD San Fernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UD San Fernando's form might have worsened.

Badajoz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Badajoz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (+17.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UD San Fernando, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Badajoz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

UD San Fernando - Badajoz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches San Fernando won 3.

Recent matches San Fernando is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Badajoz is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

San Fernando could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Badajoz will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches San Fernando won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-10.

Including matches at home between the teams San Fernando won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD San Fernando
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
04.02.24	UD San Fernando - CD Guadalajara	2:0 ✺
28.01.24	Unión Adarve - UD San Fernando	0:0 ✺
21.01.24	UD San Fernando - San Sebastian Reyes	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Mensajero - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
07.01.24	Getafe B - UD San Fernando	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTTLL
- CD Badajoz
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
04.02.24	Badajoz - Illescas	0:0 ✺
27.01.24	CD Guadalajara - Badajoz	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	Badajoz - Atlético Paso	0:1 ✺
14.01.24	Unión Adarve - Badajoz	3:1 ✺
07.01.24	Llerenense - Badajoz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.10.23	Badajoz - UD San Fernando	1:0

Upcoming Matches