The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Saint-Étienne 60%
Draw 22.9%
Montpellier 17.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.6%
25.1%
23.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.4%
23.8%
22.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Saint-Étienne's performance.
Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montpellier might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Saint-Étienne that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (+5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
16.7%
0%
Saint Étienne - Montpellier Predictions
Users Predictions:
Saint-Étienne will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Larsonneur G. (G) 23. Pedro K. 26. Le Cardinal J. (C) 18. Nair S. 6. Bernauer M. 16. Svetlin T. 14. Csongvai A. 20. Boakye A. 22. Davitashvili Z. 8. Ballo T. 7. Cardona I.
31. Ngapandouetnbu S. (G) 3. El Hannach N. 15. Laporte J. (C) 6. Mouanga Y. 17. Sainte-Luce T. 27. Meddah D. 18. Pays N. 32. Abderrebi H. 5. Tardieu F. 19. Mukiele N. 9. Megnan-Pave L.
Substitutes
32. Baallal A. 10. Breum J. 17. Duffus J. 31. El Jamali N. 13. Ferreira J. 5. Jaber M. 15. Lamba C. 1. Ndiaye M. (G) 11. Old B.
90. Ayem G. 23. Benlahlou D. 11. Camara M. 44. Chennahi T. 77. Everson Jr 12. Eyen O. 39. Hatchi J. 1. Michel M. (G) 40. Vidal-Cartoux N.
Coaches
Cathro I.
Camara Z.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
41', 1 - 0, Bernauer M. ⚽, Cardona I. (A),
42', Camara Z. 🟨,
45', Boakye A. 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 1, Meddah D. ⚽, Mukiele N. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 2 - 1, Boakye A. ⚽, Svetlin T. (A),
58', Bernauer M. ↓, Old B. ↑,
59', El Hannach N. 🟨,
59', Cathro I. 🟨,
64', Ballo T. ↓, Duffus J. ↑,
65', Davitashvili Z. ↓, Jaber M. ↑,
67', Meddah D. 🟨,
70', Abderrebi H. ↓, Hatchi J. ↑,
71', El Hannach N. ↓, Chennahi T. ↑,
71', 3 - 1, Duffus J. ⚽, Cardona I. (A),
76', Boakye A. ↓, Breum J. ↑,
77', Pedro K. ↓, Ferreira J. ↑,
79', Meddah D. ↓, Ayem G. ↑,
79', Megnan-Pave L. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
84', Pays N. ↓, Vidal-Cartoux N. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 5.
Saint-Étienne has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Montpellier is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Montpellier may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Saint-Étienne is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Breum J.
(Injury)
Eymard P.
(Foot Injury)
Ferreira J.
(Injury)
Lamba C.
(Injury)
Paalberg M.
(Inactive)
Traore L.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Montpellier: Camara M.
(Inactive)
Chennahi T.
(Inactive)
Gueguin A.
(Knee Injury)
Mouanga Y.
(Inactive)
Sissoko A.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Saint-Étienne: Jaber M.
(Surgery)
We predict that Saint-Étienne will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:15. (average 1.1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Saint-Étienne won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 0.9:0.6).
Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now
St Etienne: 56.34% Montpellier: 4.46%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
St Etienne
7
5
1
1
19:8
11
16
4
Montpellier
7
3
3
1
6:5
1
12
Last Results with these Odds
Saint-Étienne - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 51.57%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.