Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 6

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: Stade Paul-Lignon (Rodez)

Referee: Henry G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Rodez		Grenoble

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.3	3.75	Watch
	1.88	3.50	3.90
	1.88	3.35	3.9	Watch
	1.95	3.55	4.34
	1.93	3.6	3.73	Watch
	1.89	3.4	4.25
	1.92	3.43	3.89	Watch
	1.88	3.45	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.73)	3.45 ↓ (3.76)	3.96 ↓ (4.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodez
49.3%

Draw
27.1%

Grenoble
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

24.8%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

24.1%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Grenoble has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rodez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Rodez - Grenoble Predictions

Users Predictions: Rodez will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Margueron L. (G) 13. Issanchou C. 24. Laurent L. 4. Magnin M. 3. Lipinski R. (C) 20. Ponti R. 6. Mendes J. 8. Pavlovic D. 29. Cartillier A. 7. Nagera K. 21. Nsona K.	1. Olliero A. (G) 19. Zahui N. 43. Pelon A. 5. Vidal C. (C) 27. Xantippe M. 6. Magnin Y. 92. Akpa Akpro J. 30. Diba S. 8. Bernadou L. 10. Mouazan B. 12. Bonnet U.
Substitutes
30. Crombez E. (G) 27. Essimi M. 15. Jean-Lambert E. 22. Joly O. 28. Luyambula S. 9. Nsingi N. 10. Saka M. 11. Touho M. 17. Vangi D.	16. Allain B. (G) 14. Corboz M. 2. Djitte M. 47. Fofana K. 23. Hoogewerf D. 21. Kouassi C. 97. Macon Y. 46. Mouton J. 48. Niakate S.
Coaches
Santini D.	Frapolli O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Xantippe M. ⚽, Mouazan B. (A),
42', Akpa Akpro J. 🟨,
45+3', Vidal C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Mouazan B. ↓, Macon Y. ↑,
66', Nsona K. ↓, Touho M. ↑,
66', Pavlovic D. ↓, Saka M. ↑,
74', Bonnet U. ↓, Fofana K. ↑,
74', Bernadou L. ↓, Corboz M. ↑,
77', Issanchou C. ↓, Nsingi N. ↑,
77', Ponti R. ↓, Jean-Lambert E. ↑,
86', Xantippe M. ↓, Kouassi C. ↑,
86', Akpa Akpro J. ↓, Djitte M. ↑,
87', Cartillier A. ↓, Essimi M. ↑,
87', Macon Y. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rodez won 2.

In recent matches, Rodez has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Grenoble's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Rodez is the team to beat.

There will not play in Rodez: Braat Q. (Injury) Doumbia C. (Coach's decision) Sylla M. (Inactive) Tebily H. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Grenoble: Cerri L. (Inactive) Corboz M. (Injury) Djitte M. (Inactive) Lallias A. (Inactive) Limouri F. (Inactive) N'Gatta A. L. (Injury) Ze Leite (Inactive)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Rodez won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 0.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Rodez won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1:0.8).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Rodez: 1.16% Grenoble: 0.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Grenoble	7	2	2	3	8:11	-3	8
14	Rodez	7	2	1	4	14:16	-2	7

Last Results with these Odds

Grenoble - the odds 4.39 are the expected chance of winning is 21.25%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodez AF
French Ligue 2
05.09.26	Metz - Rodez	4:1 ✺
28.08.26	Rodez - Pau	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Nantes - Rodez	2:5 ✺
14.08.26	Annecy - Rodez	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Rodez - Laval	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LTWLW
- Grenoble Foot 38
French Ligue 2
04.09.26	Grenoble - Annecy	1:2 ✺
28.08.26	Laval - Grenoble	0:3 ✺
22.08.26	Saint-Étienne - Grenoble	4:0 ✺
14.08.26	Grenoble - Metz	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Dunkerque - Grenoble	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
06.03.26	Rodez - Grenoble	1:0
07.11.25	Grenoble - Rodez	2:1
31.01.25	Grenoble - Rodez	2:1
04.10.24	Rodez - Grenoble	2:1
Club Friendly
19.07.24	Rodez - Grenoble	0:0
French Ligue 2
16.03.24	Rodez - Grenoble	3:1
25.11.23	Grenoble - Rodez	2:1

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