Match Info

Date: 4 October 2020, Sunday


	Montpellier		Nîmes

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.8	5	Watch
	1.72	3.7	5
	1.71	3.8	4.8	Watch
	1.7	3.8	4.8
	1.72	3.82	5.49
	1.7	3.6	5.25	Watch
	1.72	3.82	5.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.69)	3.76 ↓ (3.81)	5.06 ↓ (5.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montpellier
55.8%

Draw
25.4%

Nîmes
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

25%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5%

20.3%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Nîmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montpellier, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nîmes than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.1%	4.9%	4.9%

Montpellier - Nîmes Predictions

Users Predictions: Montpellier will win (128 of 142 users predict this - 90.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.24% – 95.04%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion to Europa Conference League (Qualification) and 14).

Montpellier has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (12%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Nîmes has a chance of relegated (18%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Montpellier is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Nîmes is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Montpellier could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Montpellier is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Montpellier won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Montpellier won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montpellier HSC
French Ligue 1
27.09.20	Dijon - Montpellier	2:2 ✺
20.09.20	Montpellier - Angers	4:1 ✺
15.09.20	Montpellier - Lyon	2:1 ✺
12.09.20	Montpellier - Nice	3:1 ✺
29.08.20	Rennes - Montpellier	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWWWL
- Nîmes Olympique
French Ligue 1
27.09.20	Nîmes - Lens	1:1 ✺
18.09.20	Lyon - Nîmes	0:0 ✺
13.09.20	Nîmes - Rennes	2:4 ✺
30.08.20	Nantes - Nîmes	2:1 ✺
23.08.20	Nîmes - Brest	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
25.09.19	Montpellier - Nîmes	1:0
03.02.19	Nîmes - Montpellier	1:1
30.09.18	Montpellier - Nîmes	3:0

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