Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 15

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Stade de la Mosson (Montpellier)

Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Chile	Disney+
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
France	DAZN 1, DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
India	GXR World
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	K Sport 2
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV5
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovakia	Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	beIN Sports
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX
United-kingdom	Ligue 1 Pass
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+, Fanatiz


	Montpellier		Nice

	1	X	2
	3	3.6	2.25	Watch
	2.95	3.5	2.3
	3.05	3.55	2.28	Watch
	3.15	3.63	2.31
	3.1	3.57	2.31	Watch
	3	3.4	2.3
	3.24	3.54	2.36	Watch
	3.05	3.55	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↓ (3.6)	3.54 ↓ (3.72)	2.3 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Network on TV: beIN SPORTS

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Current Win Probability

Montpellier
31.2%

Draw
27.1%

Nice
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

25.6%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

25%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nice might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	10.7%	60.7%

Montpellier - Nice Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Montpellier will win (votes: 8 - 28.6%). Nice will win (votes: 17 - 60.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 42.6% – 78.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Lecomte B. (G) 29. Tchato E. 52. Maksimovic N. 27. Omeragic B. 3. Sylla I. 12. Ferri J. 13. Chotard J. 9. Al-Tamari M. 11. Savanier T. (C) 7. Nordin A. 8. Adams A.	1. Bulka M. (G) 20. Louchet T. 8. Rosario P. (C) 64. Bombito M. 92. Clauss J. 19. Bouanani B. 6. Boudaoui H. 22. Ndombele T. 29. Guessand E. 24. Laborde G. 10. Diop S.
Substitutes
15. Bares G. 16. Bertaud D. (G) 44. Chennahi T. 10. Khazri W. 47. Mouanga Y. 41. Ndiaye J. 19. Nzingoula R. 77. Sacko F. 5. Sagnan M. 17. Sainte-Luce T.	26. Bard M. 36. Camara I. 44. Doumbouya A. 31. Dupe M. (G) 18. Ilie R. 48. Monteiro L. 15. Moukoko Y. 42. Nandjou Y. 99. Nguene B.
Coaches
Gasset J.	Haise F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Laborde G. ⚽, Guessand E. (A),
22', 1 - 1, Chotard J. ⚽, Ferri J. (A),
28', 1 - 2, Bouanani B. ⚽, Rosario P. (A),
34', Bouanani B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Clauss J. 🟨,
61', Ferri J. ↓, Khazri W. ↑,
61', Nordin A. ↓, Nzingoula R. ↑,
61', Tchato E. ↓, Sagnan M. ↑,
62', Clauss J. ↓, Bard M. ↑,
71', Louchet T. ↓, Nandjou Y. ↑,
74', Sylla I. ↓, Sainte-Luce T. ↑,
75', Adams A. ↓, Ndiaye J. ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Sainte-Luce T. ⚽, Al-Tamari M. (A),
85', Ndombele T. ↓, Camara I. ↑,
85', Diop S. ↓, Ilie R. ↑,
90+4', Nzingoula R. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Montpellier won 1.

Montpellier is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Nice is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Montpellier could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Montpellier: Coulibaly T. (Red Card) Fayad K. (Injury) Issoufou Y. (Thigh Injury) Jullien C. (Knee Injury) Kouyate K. (Surgery) Tchato E. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Nice: Abdi A. (Thigh Injury) Bard M. (Foot Injury) Boudaoui H. (Yellow Cards) Cho M. (Hamstring Injury) Dante (Knee Injury) Mendy A. (Ankle Injury) Moffi T. (Knee Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Thigh Injury) Sanson M. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Montpellier: Toure B. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Illness)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Montpellier won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 20:29 (average 1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Montpellier won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:13 (average 1.3:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montpellier HSC
French Ligue 1
08.12.24	Lens - Montpellier	2:0 ✺
01.12.24	Montpellier - Lille	2:2 ✺
23.11.24	Saint-Étienne - Montpellier	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Montpellier - Brest	3:1 ✺
03.11.24	Le Havre - Montpellier	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTLWL
- OGC Nice
UEFA Europa League
12.12.24	Saint-Gilloise - Nice	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
07.12.24	Nice - Le Havre	2:1 ✺
01.12.24	Lyon - Nice	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.11.24	Nice - Glasgow Rangers	1:4 ✺
French Ligue 1
24.11.24	Nice - Strasbourg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
08.03.24	Nice - Montpellier	1:2
Coupe De France
07.02.24	Montpellier - Nice	1:4
French Ligue 1
10.11.23	Montpellier - Nice	0:0
Club Friendly
22.07.23	Nice - Montpellier	1:0
French Ligue 1
27.05.23	Montpellier - Nice	2:3
11.01.23	Nice - Montpellier	6:1
12.03.22	Montpellier - Nice	0:0

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