Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 4

Date: 15 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Roazhon Park (Rennes)

Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	ESPN 4
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3, Moja TV
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, FuboTV
Croatia	Arena Sport 3
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
France	DAZN 1, DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Japan	DAZN Japan
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 4, CANAL+ Sport, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV5
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovakia	Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	beIN Sports
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5
United-kingdom	Ligue 1 Pass
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, FuboTV
World	Disney+, Fanatiz


	Rennes		Montpellier

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.75	6.5	Watch
	1.44	4.8	6.25
	1.42	4.9	6.8
	1.45	5.09	6.73
	1.46	4.99	6.65	Watch
	1.44	4.6	7
	1.49	5.12	6.68	Watch
	1.42	4.9	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.6)	4.89 ↑ (4.3)	6.68 ↑ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Network on TV: beIN SPORTS

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Current Win Probability

Rennes
66.2%

Draw
19.5%

Montpellier
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

22.2%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

21.9%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rennes's performance.

Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rennes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.4%	9.8%	4.9%

Rennes - Montpellier Predictions

Users Predictions: Rennes will win (35 of 40 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.25% – 97.75%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Mandanda S. (C) 33. Hateboer H. 4. Wooh C. 36. Seidu A. 22. Assignon L. 8. Santamaria B. 6. Matusiwa A. 3. Truffert A. 11. Blas L. 9. Kalimuendo A. 7. Gronbaek A.	40. Lecomte B. (G) 29. Tchato E. 45. Dzodic S. 5. Sagnan M. 77. Sacko F. 19. Nzingoula R. 22. Fayad K. 7. Nordin A. 11. Savanier T. (C) 70. Coulibaly T. 8. Adams A.
Substitutes
32. Ahamada N. 15. Faye M. 1. Gallon G. (G) 10. Gouiri A. 17. James J. 27. Jota 28. Kamara G. 19. Meister H. 18. Nagida M.	15. Bares G. 16. Bertaud D. (G) 44. Chennahi T. 12. Ferri J. 39. Issoufou Y. 10. Khazri W. 27. Omeragic B.
Coaches
Stephan J.	Der Zakarian M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', Seidu A. 🟨,
22', Sagnan M. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Blas L. ⚽, Gronbaek A. (A),
35', 2 - 0, Kalimuendo A. ⚽, Assignon L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 3 - 0, Gronbaek A. ⚽, Santamaria B. (A),
67', Fayad K. ↓, Issoufou Y. ↑,
67', Coulibaly T. ↓, Ferri J. ↑,
68', Gronbaek A. ↓, Jota ↑,
68', Kalimuendo A. ↓, Gouiri A. ↑,
79', Nzingoula R. 🟨,
82', Truffert A. ↓, Nagida M. ↑,
82', Blas L. ↓, Kamara G. ↑,
85', Dzodic S. 🟨,
86', Nzingoula R. ↓, Khazri W. ↑,
88', Tchato E. ↓, Chennahi T. ↑,
89', Matusiwa A. ↓, James J. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rennes won 3.

Recent matches Rennes is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Montpellier has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Montpellier could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Rennes is a favorite.

There will not play in Rennes: Alemdar D. (Knee Injury) Ostigard L. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Montpellier: Chotard J. (Muscle Injury) Gueguin A. (Injury) Jullien C. (Knee Injury) Kouyate K. (Injury) Mincarelli L. (Knee Injury) Sainte-Luce T. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Rennes won 10 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 27-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Rennes won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Rennes
French Ligue 1
01.09.24	Reims - Rennes	2:1 ✺
25.08.24	Strasbourg - Rennes	3:1 ✺
18.08.24	Rennes - Lyon	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Rennes - Werder Bremen	1:0 ✺
10.08.24	Rennes - Werder Bremen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWWT
- Montpellier HSC
French Ligue 1
31.08.24	Montpellier - Nantes	1:3 ✺
23.08.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Montpellier	6:0 ✺
18.08.24	Montpellier - Strasbourg	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Mainz - Montpellier	3:1 ✺
04.08.24	Fiorentina - Montpellier	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
03.02.24	Rennes - Montpellier	2:1
24.09.23	Montpellier - Rennes	0:0
23.04.23	Montpellier - Rennes	1:0
30.10.22	Rennes - Montpellier	3:0
25.02.22	Montpellier - Rennes	2:4
20.11.21	Rennes - Montpellier	2:0
21.02.21	Montpellier - Rennes	2:1

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