Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 17

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade de la Mosson (Montpellier)

Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Montpellier		Angers

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	3.4	Watch
	2.15	3.4	3.4
	2.12	3.35	3.55
	2.04	3.56	3.58
	2.12	3.57	3.41	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3.4
	2.2	3.57	3.57	Watch
	2.12	3.35	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.03)	3.45 ↓ (3.65)	3.48 ↓ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montpellier
45%

Draw
27.6%

Angers
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

26%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

26.1%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Angers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Angers than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Montpellier - Angers Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Montpellier will win (votes: 24 - 50%). Angers will win (votes: 12 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Montpellier: 35.9% – 64.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Lecomte B. (G) 29. Tchato E. 27. Omeragic B. 13. Chotard J. 3. Sylla I. 12. Ferri J. (C) 5. Sagnan M. 9. Al-Tamari M. 19. Nzingoula R. 11. Savanier T. 8. Adams A.	30. Fofana Y. (G) 2. Arcus C. 24. Biumla E. 21. Lefort J. 26. Hanin F. 6. Aholou J. 93. Belkebla H. 18. Allevinah J. 10. Abdelli H. (C) 28. El Melali F. 19. Lepaul E.
Substitutes
16. Bertaud D. (G) 44. Chennahi T. 22. Fayad K. 39. Issoufou Y. 10. Khazri W. 4. Kouyate K. 47. Mouanga Y. 7. Nordin A. 17. Sainte-Luce T.	25. Bamba A. 14. Belkhdim Y. 15. Capelle P. 99. Dieng B. 3. Ekomie J. 20. Ferhat Z. 7. Niane I. 27. Rao-Lisoa L. 16. Zinga M. (G)
Coaches
Gasset J.	Dujeux A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Lepaul E. ⚽, Allevinah J. (A),
39', Nzingoula R. 🟨,
45+1', Al-Tamari M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Nzingoula R. ↓, Nordin A. ↑,
47', Aholou J. 🟨,
53', Sylla I. 🟨,
61', 1 - 1, Savanier T. (Pen),
62', El Melali F. ↓, Rao-Lisoa L. ↑,
62', Allevinah J. ↓, Ferhat Z. ↑,
69', 1 - 2, Lepaul E. ⚽,
71', Sylla I. ↓, Sainte-Luce T. ↑,
71', Savanier T. ↓, Khazri W. ↑,
71', Chotard J. ↓, Kouyate K. ↑,
73', Kouyate K. 🟨,
76', Aholou J. ↓, Belkhdim Y. ↑,
76', Lepaul E. ↓, Niane I. ↑,
82', Tchato E. ↓, Fayad K. ↑,
83', Fayad K. 🟨,
84', Kouyate K. 🟨,
86', Ferri J. 🟥,
90', Abdelli H. ↓, Capelle P. ↑,
90+4', Belkebla H. 🟨,
90+9', 1 - 3, Ferhat Z. ⚽, Belkebla H. (A),

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Montpellier won 2.

Montpellier is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Angers is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Montpellier could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Montpellier will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Montpellier: Jullien C. (Knee Injury) Maksimovic N. (Thigh Injury) Mincarelli L. (Injury)

There will not play in Angers: Kalumba J. (Broken ankle) Sabanovic H. (Injury)

There are questionable in Montpellier: Bares G. (Illness) Kouyate K. (Knee Injury) Maamma O. (Injury) Ndiaye J. (Injury) Nordin A. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Angers: Cherif S. (Thigh Injury)

Last 17 head-to-head matches Montpellier won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 25:19 (average 1.5:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Montpellier won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18:7 (average 2.3:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montpellier HSC
French Ligue 1
04.01.25	Lyon - Montpellier	1:0 ✺
Coupe De France
21.12.24	Le Puy - Montpellier	4:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
15.12.24	Montpellier - Nice	2:2 ✺
08.12.24	Lens - Montpellier	2:0 ✺
01.12.24	Montpellier - Lille	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLTLT
- Angers SCO
French Ligue 1
05.01.25	Angers - Brest	2:0 ✺
Coupe De France
22.12.24	FC 93 - Angers	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
15.12.24	Rennes - Angers	2:0 ✺
07.12.24	Angers - Lyon	0:3 ✺
01.12.24	Le Havre - Angers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
05.03.23	Montpellier - Angers	5:0
11.09.22	Angers - Montpellier	2:1
21.05.22	Angers - Montpellier	2:0
22.12.21	Montpellier - Angers	4:1
04.04.21	Angers - Montpellier	1:1
20.09.20	Montpellier - Angers	4:1
22.02.20	Angers - Montpellier	1:0

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