Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 3

Date: 31 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade de la Mosson (Montpellier)

Referee: Millot B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 5
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9, TOD
Austria	DAZN Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4, Moja TV
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, FuboTV
China	Migu
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Voyo
France	DAZN 1, DAZN France, myCANAL
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Mexico	Caliente TV
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Portugal	Sport TV6
Russia	Okko Sport
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	beIN Sports
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, Digiturk
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6
United-kingdom	Ligue 1 Pass
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, FuboTV
World	Disney+, Fanatiz


	Montpellier		Nantes

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	3.1	Watch
	2.25	3.4	3.1
	2.28	3.55	3.05
	2.31	3.54	3.23
	2.3	3.53	3.15	Watch
	2.25	3.5	3.1
	2.31	3.66	3.24	Watch
	2.28	3.55	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.03)	3.53 ↓ (3.59)	3.13 ↓ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS

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Current Win Probability

Montpellier
42.2%

Draw
27.2%

Nantes
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

26.5%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

26.8%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	33.3%	6.7%

Montpellier - Nantes Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Montpellier will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Nantes will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Montpellier: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Lecomte B. (G) 77. Sacko F. 27. Omeragic B. 5. Sagnan M. 3. Sylla I. 13. Chotard J. 12. Ferri J. 70. Coulibaly T. 11. Savanier T. 9. Al-Tamari M. 8. Adams A.	1. Lafont A. (G) 11. Coco M. 4. Pallois N. 44. Zeze N. 2. Duverne J. 5. Chirivella P. (C) 8. Lepenant J. 22. Thomas S. 10. Kadewere T. 27. Simon M. 39. Abline M.
Substitutes
15. Bares G. 16. Bertaud D. (G) 44. Chennahi T. 45. Dzodic S. 22. Fayad K. 39. Issoufou Y. 10. Khazri W. 41. Nzingoula R. 29. Tchato E.	41. Acapandie M. 98. Amian K. 59. Assoumani D. 6. Augusto D. 50. Barbet H. (G) 3. Cozza N. 62. Guirassy B. 66. Leroux L. 31. Mostafa Mohamed
Coaches
Der Zakarian M.	Kombouare A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', Sylla I. ↓, Tchato E. ↑,
24', 0 - 1, Abline M. ⚽, Kadewere T. (A),
30', 1 - 1, Adams A. ⚽,
40', Chotard J. ↓, Nzingoula R. ↑,
45+7', 1 - 2, Simon M. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Al-Tamari M. ↓, Fayad K. ↑,
63', Coulibaly T. ↓, Khazri W. ↑,
74', Thomas S. ↓, Amian K. ↑,
74', Abline M. ↓, Mostafa Mohamed ↑,
81', Coco M. 🟨,
83', Coco M. ↓, Leroux L. ↑,
83', Simon M. ↓, Guirassy B. ↑,
85', Lafont A. 🟨,
85', Nzingoula R. 🟨,
85', 1 - 3, Mostafa Mohamed ⚽, Kadewere T. (A),
90+2', Kadewere T. ↓, Cozza N. ↑,
90+3', Ferri J. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Montpellier won 1.

Montpellier has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nantes is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Montpellier could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Montpellier will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Montpellier: Gueguin A. (Injury) Jullien C. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Nantes: Centonze F. (Injury) Ganago I. (Injury) Mahamoud A. (Injury) Mollet F. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Montpellier won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 19-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Montpellier won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montpellier HSC
French Ligue 1
23.08.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Montpellier	6:0 ✺
18.08.24	Montpellier - Strasbourg	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Mainz - Montpellier	3:1 ✺
04.08.24	Fiorentina - Montpellier	2:1 ✺
31.07.24	Montpellier - Saint-Étienne	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- FC Nantes
French Ligue 1
25.08.24	Nantes - Auxerre	2:0 ✺
18.08.24	Toulouse - Nantes	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
11.08.24	Crystal Palace - Nantes	1:1 ✺
07.08.24	Nantes - Lorient	1:1 ✺
03.08.24	Laval - Nantes	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
26.04.24	Montpellier - Nantes	1:1
22.10.23	Nantes - Montpellier	2:0
20.05.23	Nantes - Montpellier	0:3
15.01.23	Montpellier - Nantes	0:3
06.03.22	Nantes - Montpellier	2:0
31.10.21	Montpellier - Nantes	2:0
23.05.21	Nantes - Montpellier	1:2

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