Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 3

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade de la Beaujoire (Nantes)

Referee: Frappart S. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 5
Malta	TVM Sport+
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Slovakia	Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 5
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1 Pass
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+


	Nantes		Auxerre

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.3	2.75	Watch
	2.35	3.2	3.1
	2.52	3.25	2.88
	2.62	3.32	2.91
	1.66	3.68	5.31	Watch
	2.38	3.1	3
	2.56	3.38	2.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.14)	3.32 ↓ (3.53)	3.25 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nantes
40.9%

Draw
29.2%

Auxerre
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

27%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

27.7%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	20.8%	37.5%

Nantes - Auxerre Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 9 - 39.1%). Auxerre will win (votes: 9 - 39.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nantes: 19.2% – 59%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Nantes (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Auxerre (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lopes A. (G) 98. Amian K. 6. Awaziem C. 78. Tati T. 3. Cozza N. 7. Hong Hyun-Seok 13. Coquelin F. (C) 8. Lepenant J. 11. Guirassy B. 31. Mostafa Mohamed 90. Benhattab Y.	40. De Percin T. (G) 29. Senaya M. 4. Sierralta F. 92. Akpa C. 14. Mensah G. 7. Casimir J. 42. Owusu E. (C) 5. Danois K. 19. Danny Namaso 10. Sinayoko L. 23. Osman I.
Substitutes
10. Abline M. 36. Camara A. 30. Carlgren P. (G) 72. Doucoure S. 93. Duverne J. 9. El Arabi Y. 5. Kwon Hyeok-Kyu 66. Leroux L. 17. Tabibou D.	9. Bair T. 21. Coulibaly L. 18. Diousse A. 17. El Azzouzi O. 35. Legros E. 34. Matondo R. 30. Negrel T. (G) 22. Oppegard F. 27. Sy L.
Coaches
Castro L.	Pelissier C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Mostafa Mohamed ⚽, Guirassy B. (A),
43', Awaziem C. 🟨,
43', Sinayoko L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Danois K. 🟨,
65', Hong Hyun-Seok ↓, Leroux L. ↑,
72', Guirassy B. ↓, Abline M. ↑,
72', Coquelin F. ↓, Kwon Hyeok-Kyu ↑,
72', Casimir J. ↓, Coulibaly L. ↑,
73', Sierralta F. ↓, El Azzouzi O. ↑,
73', Osman I. ↓, Oppegard F. ↑,
84', Mensah G. ↓, Bair T. ↑,
87', Benhattab Y. ↓, Tabibou D. ↑,
87', Mostafa Mohamed ↓, Camara A. ↑,
88', El Azzouzi O. 🟨,
90+1', Owusu E. ↓, Matondo R. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 2.

Nantes is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Auxerre is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Nantes is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Nantes: Acapandie M. (Injury) Lahdo M. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N. (Knee Injury) Diomande S. (Thigh Injury) Leon D. (Red Card) Siwe T. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Nantes
French Ligue 1
24.08.25	Strasbourg - Nantes	1:0 ✺
17.08.25	Nantes - Paris Saint-Germain	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Nantes - Paris FC	2:3 ✺
02.08.25	Angers - Nantes	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Nantes - Rennes	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 1
23.08.25	Nice - Auxerre	3:1 ✺
17.08.25	Auxerre - Lorient	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Auxerre - Levante	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Auxerre - Ipswich Town	0:3 ✺
30.07.25	Grenoble - Auxerre	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
10.05.25	Auxerre - Nantes	1:1
25.08.24	Nantes - Auxerre	2:0
16.04.23	Auxerre - Nantes	2:1
01.01.23	Nantes - Auxerre	1:0
Coupe De France
23.01.18	Nantes - Auxerre	3:4
French Coupe de la Ligue
17.12.13	Nantes - Auxerre	1:0
French Ligue 2
20.04.13	Nantes - Auxerre	1:1

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