Match Info

League One - Round 36

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Links Park (Montrose)


	Montrose		Stenhousemuir

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.9	1.6
	4.8	3.9	1.53
	4.35	3.9	1.65
	4.47	4.62	1.65
	4.4	4.15	1.66	Watch
	4.5	3.9	1.65
	4.36	4.15	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.46 ↓ (4.91)	4.07 ↓ (4.16)	1.62 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Montrose
20.6%

Draw
22.6%

Stenhousemuir
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.7%

22%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

21.5%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montrose has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Stenhousemuir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montrose than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stenhousemuir than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Montrose - Stenhousemuir Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gill C. (G) 2. Williamson R. 3. Steeves A. (C) 12. Freeman K. 20. Bertie K. 7. Webster G. 6. Masson T. 8. Sandilands C. 23. Gibson L. 9. Loudon E. 10. Sutherland T.	1. Jamieson D. (G) 6. Graham A. 4. Buchanan G. (C) 2. Meechan R. 22. Whyte O. 17. Anderson M. 23. McGill S. 14. Bilham K. 7. O'Reilly E. 11. Taylor R. 9. Aitken M.
Substitutes
22. Brown C. 24. Clark R. 19. Conner R. 14. Dillon S. 18. Glasgow E. 16. Mochrie A. 21. Sharp H. (G) 15. Stevenson G. 5. Waddell K.	12. Cameron Z. 15. Carrick D. 21. Ewen K. 24. Grant L. 10. Gray F. 34. Lyle C. (G) 8. Robson F. 3. Simpson O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', Bertie K. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Anderson M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Taylor R. ↓, Cameron Z. ↑,
58', 0 - 2, Whyte O. ⚽,
61', Anderson M. ↓, Robson F. ↑,
67', Aitken M. ↓, Ewen K. ↑,
67', Bilham K. ↓, Carrick D. ↑,
70', McGill S. 🟨,
70', Williamson R. ↓, Glasgow E. ↑,
70', Freeman K. ↓, Conner R. ↑,
74', Sandilands C. ↓, Brown C. ↑,
74', Masson T. ↓, Clark R. ↑,
77', Buchanan G. ↓, Grant L. ↑,
83', Steeves A. ↓, Waddell K. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montrose won 2.

Montrose is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Stenhousemuir has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Stenhousemuir is a strong favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Montrose won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Montrose won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.6:0.9).

Outrights of Scottish League One for now

Montrose: 1.29%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Montrose	9	5	0	4	13:14	-1	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montrose FC
Scottish League One
25.04.26	Queen of the South - Montrose	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Montrose - Hamilton Academical	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Kelty Hearts - Montrose	3:1 ✺
07.04.26	Montrose - Cove Rangers	2:3 ✺
04.04.26	Montrose - East Fife	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLLLW
- Stenhousemuir
Scottish League One
25.04.26	Stenhousemuir - Alloa Athletic	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Cove Rangers - Stenhousemuir	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Stenhousemuir - Inverness	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Stenhousemuir - Hamilton Academical	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	East Fife - Stenhousemuir	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
14.02.26	Stenhousemuir - Montrose	2:2
13.12.25	Montrose - Stenhousemuir	3:0
04.10.25	Stenhousemuir - Montrose	3:1
29.03.25	Stenhousemuir - Montrose	2:3
01.02.25	Montrose - Stenhousemuir	0:3
16.11.24	Stenhousemuir - Montrose	1:0
14.09.24	Montrose - Stenhousemuir	3:0

Upcoming Matches