The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Queen of the South 57.3%
Draw 22%
Montrose 20.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66%
19.9%
14.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.9%
19.1%
13.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Queen of the South has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Queen of the South's form might have worsened.
Montrose has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montrose's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queen of the South than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Queen of the South, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montrose than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Montrose, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Queen of the South - Montrose Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Sneddon J. (G) 2. Hewitt M. 15. Rogerson N. 11. Dickenson B. 3. Charters T. 4. Lyon R. (C) 18. Stott J. 16. MacKenzie Z. 88. Clark N. 7. Smith L. 9. Allan J.
21. Sharp H. (G) 2. Williamson R. 22. Brown C. 3. Steeves A. (C) 20. Bertie K. 7. Webster G. 15. Stevenson G. 24. Clark R. 23. Gibson L. 9. Loudon E. 10. Sutherland T.
Substitutes
5. Douglas M. 26. Green L. (G) 14. Johnstone B. 8. Luissint B. 20. Mason S. 21. Ross E.
14. Dillon S. 12. Freeman K. 1. Gill C. (G) 18. Glasgow E. 11. Lyons B. 6. Masson T. 8. Sandilands C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
3', Stott J. ↓, Luissint B. ↑,
27', 0 - 1, Loudon E. ⚽, Stevenson G. (A),
36', Gibson L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Allan J. ↓, Douglas M. ↑,
46', MacKenzie Z. ↓, Ross E. ↑,
55', Clark R. ↓, Sandilands C. ↑,
58', 0 - 2, Sutherland T. ⚽, Gibson L. (A),
65', 1 - 2, Dickenson B. ⚽, Rogerson N. (A),
65', Gibson L. ↓, Lyons B. ↑,
69', Stevenson G. 🟨,
72', Stevenson G. ↓, Masson T. ↑,
72', Brown C. ↓, Freeman K. ↑,
73', Sutherland T. ↓, Glasgow E. ↑,
76', 2 - 2, Luissint B. ⚽, Smith L. (A),
81', Freeman K. 🟨,
84', Bertie K. 🟨,
90+4', Charters T. ↓, Mason S. ↑,
Preview
Queen of the South is Qualified for Championship (Promotion )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Queen of the South won 3.
Recent performances by Queen of the South have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Montrose has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Queen of the South is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Queen of the South won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 37:25. (average 1.9:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Queen of the South won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:11. (average 2.3:1.2).