Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 14 - ROUND 26

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday


	Moralo		Don Álvaro

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.7	4.6
	1.69	3.65	4.75
	1.7	3.37	4.4
	1.67	3.54	4.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.55)	3.57 ↓ (3.69)	4.6 ↓ (5.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moralo
54.8%

Draw
25.5%

Don Álvaro
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

24.5%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

24.1%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moralo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Don Álvaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moralo than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Don Álvaro than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Arroyo R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Albert I. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: ) and 12).

Recent matches Moralo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Don Álvaro is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Moralo is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Moralo won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Moralo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moralo CP
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
10.03.24	Racing Valverdeño - Moralo	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	Moralo - Azuaga	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Villafranca - Moralo	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Moralo - Fuente de Cantos	2:0 ✺
11.02.24	Don Benito - Moralo	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWTWL
- CD Don Álvaro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
10.03.24	Don Álvaro - Arroyo	2:0 ✺
03.03.24	Olivenza - Don Álvaro	2:0 ✺
25.02.24	Don Álvaro - Jerez	3:2 ✺
18.02.24	Montehermoso - Don Álvaro	1:2 ✺
11.02.24	Don Álvaro - Jaraíz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
29.10.23	Don Álvaro - Moralo	1:1
26.02.23	Moralo - Don Álvaro	4:0
23.10.22	Don Álvaro - Moralo	0:2
03.04.22	Moralo - Don Álvaro	2:0
28.11.21	Don Álvaro - Moralo	0:0

Moralo - Don Álvaro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide