Match Info

National League - Round 11

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: The Mazuma Stadium (Morecambe)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Morecambe		Halifax Town

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.6	2.2
	2.78	3.6	2.25
	2.77	3.85	2.33
	3.60	1.92	3.60	Watch
	2.85	3.67	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (3.23)	3.33 ↓ (3.45)	2.52 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morecambe
32.7%

Draw
29%

Halifax Town
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

26.8%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

26.5%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Halifax Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Halifax Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Halifax Town than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Halifax Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Morecambe - Halifax Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Morecambe will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Halifax will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Halifax: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Morecambe (3.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Halifax Town will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Morecambe (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Halifax (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mair A. (G) 8. Azeez M. 10. Cain J. 29. Dixon-Bonner E. 5. Kacurri M. 11. Muskwe A. 36. Nolan J. 2. Payne L. 20. Sangare M. 24. Songo'o Y. (C) 18. Tollitt B.	1. Johnson S. (G) 11. Capello A. 10. Cooke J. 31. Devonport O. 8. Hmami J. 5. Hobson S. 4. Hugill W. 22. Kawa D. 16. Mills J. 29. Tarima S. 27. Turner-Cooke J.
Substitutes
97. Ascroft B. (G) 3. Conte R. 9. Panayiotou H. 22. Raikhy A. 14. Sesay A. 98. Sutton E. . Thomas G.	3. Alimi-Adetoro A. 17. Bray O. 12. Ford N. (G) 26. Griffin J. 9. Harris W. 20. Jenkins J. 36. Latty-Fairweather T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Nolan J. ⚽, Cain J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Kawa D. ↓, Bray O. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Hmami J. ⚽, Bray O. (A),
67', Devonport O. ↓, Harris W. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Bray O. ⚽,
80', Dixon-Bonner E. ↓, Thomas G. ↑,
80', Sangare M. ↓, Conte R. ↑,
85', Hmami J. ↓, Alimi-Adetoro A. ↑,
85', Muskwe A. ↓, Sutton E. ↑,
85', Tollitt B. ↓, Panayiotou H. ↑,
86', Azeez M. ↓, Raikhy A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Recent form of Morecambe has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Halifax has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Morecambe won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Morecambe won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Halifax Town - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.63%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morecambe
English National League
20.09.25	Morecambe - Wealdstone	4:3 ✺
13.09.25	Solihull Moors - Morecambe	4:4 ✺
06.09.25	Boreham Wood - Morecambe	3:0 ✺
02.09.25	Morecambe - Forest Green Rovers	1:3 ✺
30.08.25	Morecambe - Woking	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTLLL
- FC Halifax Town
English National League
20.09.25	Gateshead - Halifax Town	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Halifax Town - Eastleigh	2:2 ✺
English National League Cup
09.09.25	Halifax Town - Middlesbrough U21	2:1 ✺
English National League
06.09.25	Southend United - Halifax Town	3:0 ✺
03.09.25	Halifax Town - Woking	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
20.11.18	Halifax Town - Morecambe	1:0
10.11.18	Morecambe - Halifax Town	0:0
Club Friendly
23.07.16	Halifax Town - Morecambe	6:2

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