Match Info

National League - Round 10

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: The Mazuma Stadium (Morecambe) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	16:00	DAZN
Argentina	11:00	DAZN
Australia	00:00	DAZN
Austria	16:00	DAZN
Belarus	17:00	DAZN
Bolivia	10:00	DAZN
Brazil	11:00	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	17:00	DAZN
Canada	10:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Colombia	09:00	DAZN
Croatia	16:00	DAZN
Cyprus	17:00	DAZN
Czech Republic	16:00	DAZN
Denmark	16:00	DAZN
Ecuador	09:00	DAZN
Finland	17:00	DAZN
France	16:00	DAZN France
Germany	16:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	17:00	DAZN
Hong Kong	22:00	DAZN
Hungary	16:00	DAZN
India	19:30	DAZN
Indonesia	21:00	DAZN
Italy	16:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	20:00	DAZN
Latvia	17:00	DAZN
Lithuania	17:00	DAZN
Malaysia	22:00	DAZN
Mexico	08:00	DAZN
New Zealand	02:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	15:00	DAZN
North Macedonia	16:00	DAZN
Norway	16:00	DAZN
Paraguay	10:00	DAZN
Philippines	22:00	DAZN
Poland	16:00	DAZN
Portugal	15:00	DAZN / App
Romania	17:00	DAZN
Russia	17:00	DAZN
Serbia	16:00	DAZN
Slovenia	16:00	DAZN
South Africa	16:00	DAZN
South Korea	23:00	DAZN
Spain	16:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	DAZN
Switzerland	16:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	22:00	DAZN
Thailand	21:00	DAZN
Ukraine	17:00	DAZN
United Arab Emirates	18:00	DAZN
United Kingdom	15:00	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	11:00	DAZN
Usa	10:00	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	19:00	DAZN
Venezuela	10:00	DAZN
Vietnam	21:00	DAZN


	Morecambe		Wealdstone

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.6	1.85
	3.45	3.9	1.88
	3.33	4.32	1.91
	1.17	7.14	12.39	Watch
	3.61	3.72	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↓ (3.11)	4.54 ↑ (3.45)	3.99 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morecambe
41.3%

Draw
27.4%

Wealdstone
31.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.7%

26.8%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

26.4%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Morecambe's performance.

Wealdstone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wealdstone might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Morecambe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wealdstone than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wealdstone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Morecambe - Wealdstone Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wealdstone (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mair A. (G) 8. Azeez M. 10. Cain J. 29. Dixon-Bonner E. 5. Kacurri M. 11. Muskwe A. 36. Nolan J. 2. Payne L. 20. Sangare M. 24. Songo'o Y. (C) 18. Tollitt B.	1. Baptiste D. (G) 27. Adarkwa S. 7. Boldewijn E. 15. Chinedu P. 2. Cook J. (C) 11. Hassan S. 10. Kretzschmar M. 25. Massey A. 4. Mussa O. 20. Tshikuna N. 5. Woodman D.
Substitutes
97. Ascroft B. (G) 3. Conte R. 9. Panayiotou H. 22. Raikhy A. 14. Sesay A. . Sutton E. . Thomas G.	26. Day M. 16. Diarra M. 3. Georgiou A. 17. Hutchinson D. 28. Lucas (G) 14. Obiero M. 29. Tiensia J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Nolan J. ⚽, Tollitt B. (A),
7', Kretzschmar M. 🟨,
23', Tollitt B. 🟨,
38', 2 - 0, Dixon-Bonner E. ⚽, Payne L. (A),
44', 3 - 0, Muskwe A. ⚽, Cain J. (A),
45+1', 3 - 1, Kretzschmar M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Mussa O. ↓, Georgiou A. ↑,
61', Kretzschmar M. ↓, Hutchinson D. ↑,
62', Adarkwa S. ↓, Obiero M. ↑,
66', Songo'o Y. 🟨,
69', Tollitt B. ↓, Sutton E. ↑,
74', 3 - 2, Obiero M. ⚽, Cook J. (A),
76', Cook J. ↓, Tiensia J. ↑,
80', 3 - 3, Massey A. ⚽,
82', Dixon-Bonner E. ↓, Tweedy T. ↑,
83', Muskwe A. ↓, Panayiotou H. ↑,
86', 4 - 3, Sutton E. ⚽,
89', Cain J. ↓, Raikhy A. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Morecambe has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Wealdstone has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Morecambe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Wealdstone has had a series of home games.

In this match, Wealdstone is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Wealdstone - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.55%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morecambe
English National League
13.09.25	Solihull Moors - Morecambe	4:4 ✺
06.09.25	Boreham Wood - Morecambe	3:0 ✺
02.09.25	Morecambe - Forest Green Rovers	1:3 ✺
30.08.25	Morecambe - Woking	0:2 ✺
25.08.25	Aldershot Town - Morecambe	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLLLL
- Wealdstone
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Wealdstone - Leicester City U21	2:1 ✺
English National League
13.09.25	Wealdstone - Gateshead	2:2 ✺
06.09.25	Scunthorpe United - Wealdstone	Scunthorpe awarded ✺
02.09.25	Wealdstone - Southend United	3:2 ✺
30.08.25	Wealdstone - Rochdale	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WT?WL

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