Match Info

National League - Round 10

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: The Mazuma Stadium (Morecambe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	DAZN
Argentina	DAZN
Australia	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Belarus	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	DAZN
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Colombia	DAZN
Croatia	DAZN
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	DAZN
Hong-kong	DAZN
Hungary	DAZN
India	DAZN
Indonesia	DAZN
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	DAZN
Latvia	DAZN
Lithuania	DAZN
Malaysia	DAZN
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	DAZN
North-macedonia	DAZN
Norway	DAZN
Paraguay	DAZN
Philippines	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	DAZN
Russia	DAZN
Serbia	DAZN
Slovenia	DAZN
South-africa	DAZN
South-korea	DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	DAZN
Ukraine	DAZN
United-arab-emirates	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	DAZN
Venezuela	DAZN
Vietnam	DAZN


	Morecambe		Wealdstone

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.6	1.85
	3.45	3.9	1.88
	3.33	4.32	1.91
	1.17	7.14	12.39	Watch
	3.61	3.72	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↓ (3.11)	4.54 ↑ (3.45)	3.99 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Morecambe
41.3%

Draw
27.4%

Wealdstone
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

26.8%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

26.4%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Morecambe's performance.

Wealdstone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wealdstone might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Morecambe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wealdstone than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wealdstone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Morecambe - Wealdstone Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wealdstone (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mair A. (G) 8. Azeez M. 10. Cain J. 29. Dixon-Bonner E. 5. Kacurri M. 11. Muskwe A. 36. Nolan J. 2. Payne L. 20. Sangare M. 24. Songo'o Y. (C) 18. Tollitt B.	1. Baptiste D. (G) 27. Adarkwa S. 7. Boldewijn E. 15. Chinedu P. 2. Cook J. (C) 11. Hassan S. 10. Kretzschmar M. 25. Massey A. 4. Mussa O. 20. Tshikuna N. 5. Woodman D.
Substitutes
97. Ascroft B. (G) 3. Conte R. 9. Panayiotou H. 22. Raikhy A. 14. Sesay A. . Sutton E. . Thomas G.	26. Day M. 16. Diarra M. 3. Georgiou A. 17. Hutchinson D. 28. Lucas (G) 14. Obiero M. 29. Tiensia J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Nolan J. ⚽, Tollitt B. (A),
7', Kretzschmar M. 🟨,
23', Tollitt B. 🟨,
38', 2 - 0, Dixon-Bonner E. ⚽, Payne L. (A),
44', 3 - 0, Muskwe A. ⚽, Cain J. (A),
45+1', 3 - 1, Kretzschmar M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Mussa O. ↓, Georgiou A. ↑,
61', Kretzschmar M. ↓, Hutchinson D. ↑,
62', Adarkwa S. ↓, Obiero M. ↑,
66', Songo'o Y. 🟨,
69', Tollitt B. ↓, Sutton E. ↑,
74', 3 - 2, Obiero M. ⚽, Cook J. (A),
76', Cook J. ↓, Tiensia J. ↑,
80', 3 - 3, Massey A. ⚽,
82', Dixon-Bonner E. ↓, Tweedy T. ↑,
83', Muskwe A. ↓, Panayiotou H. ↑,
86', 4 - 3, Sutton E. ⚽,
89', Cain J. ↓, Raikhy A. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Morecambe has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Wealdstone has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Morecambe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Wealdstone has had a series of home games.

In this match, Wealdstone is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Morecambe - the odds 3.11 are the expected chance of winning is 29.69%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Wealdstone - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.55%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morecambe
English National League
13.09.25	Solihull Moors - Morecambe	4:4 ✺
06.09.25	Boreham Wood - Morecambe	3:0 ✺
02.09.25	Morecambe - Forest Green Rovers	1:3 ✺
30.08.25	Morecambe - Woking	0:2 ✺
25.08.25	Aldershot Town - Morecambe	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLLLL
- Wealdstone
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Wealdstone - Leicester City U21	2:1 ✺
English National League
13.09.25	Wealdstone - Gateshead	2:2 ✺
06.09.25	Scunthorpe United - Wealdstone	Scunthorpe awarded ✺
02.09.25	Wealdstone - Southend United	3:2 ✺
30.08.25	Wealdstone - Rochdale	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WT?WL

Upcoming Matches