Match Info

National League - Round 6

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Grosvenor Vale (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Wealdstone		Rochdale

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.3	2.05
	3.1	3.4	1.98
	3.25	3.4	2.08
	3.77	3.66	1.95
	7.11	4.57	1.40	Watch
	3.5	3.3	2
	3.27	3.38	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↑ (3.61)	3.57 ↑ (3.49)	1.93 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wealdstone
24.4%

Draw
26.6%

Rochdale
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

26.6%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

26.1%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wealdstone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wealdstone than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Wealdstone - Rochdale Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baptiste D. (G) 7. Boldewijn E. 15. Chinedu P. 2. Cook J. (C) 3. Georgiou A. 17. Hutchinson D. 25. Massey A. 4. Mussa O. 14. Obiero M. 20. Tshikuna N. 5. Woodman D.	1. Whatmuff O. (G) 14. Adebayo-Rowling T. 7. Allarakhia T. 18. Barlow A. 33. Beckwith S. 9. Dieseruvwe E. 4. East R. 6. Ebanks-Landell E. (C) 8. Gilmour H. 2. Gordon K. 10. Rodney D.
Substitutes
27. Adarkwa S. 16. Diarra M. 11. Hassan S. 8. Kadji D. 28. Lucas (G) 19. Nkrumah D. 29. Tiensia J.	12. Amantchi L. 27. Humbles L. 11. Mancini A. 21. McBride C. 22. Moss D. 16. Pettit C. 3. Tutonda D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Barlow A. ⚽, Rodney D. (A),
24', Ebanks-Landell E. 🟨,
30', Dieseruvwe E. 🟨,
38', Mussa O. 🟨,
40', 0 - 2, Rodney D. ⚽, Gilmour H. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Barlow A. ↓, McBride C. ↑,
46', 0 - 3, Dieseruvwe E. ⚽,
61', Gilmour H. 🟨,
65', Hutchinson D. ↓, Adarkwa S. ↑,
65', Obiero M. ↓, Nkrumah D. ↑,
70', Allarakhia T. ↓, Moss D. ↑,
71', Mussa O. ↓, Kadji D. ↑,
76', 1 - 3, Massey A. ⚽,
77', Rodney D. ↓, Amantchi L. ↑,
77', Gilmour H. ↓, Pettit C. ↑,
81', Georgiou A. ↓, Hassan S. ↑,
88', Dieseruvwe E. ↓, Tutonda D. ↑,

Preview

Recent performances by Wealdstone have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rochdale is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Rochdale has had a series of home games.

Rochdale might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Wealdstone won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.5:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Wealdstone won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wealdstone
English National League
25.08.25	Boston United - Wealdstone	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Wealdstone - Carlisle United	0:1 ✺
19.08.25	Woking - Wealdstone	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Wealdstone - Halifax Town	2:1 ✺
English National League Cup
12.08.25	Wealdstone - Wolverhampton Wanderers U21	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 LLWWW
- Rochdale AFC
English National League
25.08.25	Rochdale - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Brackley Town - Rochdale	2:1 ✺
20.08.25	Rochdale - Gateshead	4:0 ✺
16.08.25	Rochdale - Altrincham	2:1 ✺
English National League Cup
13.08.25	Rochdale - Burnley U21	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
08.03.25	Rochdale - Wealdstone	4:1
16.11.24	Wealdstone - Rochdale	2:0
27.02.24	Rochdale - Wealdstone	3:0
11.11.23	Wealdstone - Rochdale	3:2

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