Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NPL Victoria - Round 16

Date: 1 June 2024, Saturday


	Moreland City		Port Melbourne Sharks

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.2	4	1.63
	4	4.2	1.63	Watch
	4	4.73	1.68
	3.83	4.73	1.69
	4	4.2	1.6
	4.29	4.15	1.61	Watch
	3.9	4.2	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.03 ↓ (5.7)	4.32 ↓ (5)	1.64 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moreland City
22.8%

Draw
21.3%

Port Melbourne Sharks
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

18.1%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9%

18.1%

66.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moreland City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moreland City's performance.

Port Melbourne Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Port Melbourne Sharks might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreland City than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moreland City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Melbourne Sharks than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Port Melbourne Sharks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Moreland City - Port Melbourne Sharks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Sporle M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90', 1 - 1, Becvinovski A. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Port Melbourne Sharks could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Port Melbourne Sharks is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Moreland City won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Moreland City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moreland City FC
Australian NPL Victoria
26.05.24	South Melbourne - Moreland City	4:2 ✺
17.05.24	Moreland City - Green Gully	2:1 ✺
11.05.24	Moreland City - Dandenong Thunder	4:0 ✺
06.05.24	Oakleigh Cannons - Moreland City	3:1 ✺
27.04.24	Moreland City - Altona Magic	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWWLL
- Port Melbourne Sharks
Australian NPL Victoria
25.05.24	Port Melbourne Sharks - Melbourne Knights	2:0 ✺
18.05.24	St Albans Dinamo - Port Melbourne Sharks	3:5 ✺
11.05.24	Avondale - Port Melbourne Sharks	5:1 ✺
04.05.24	Port Melbourne Sharks - Dandenong City	3:1 ✺
27.04.24	Port Melbourne Sharks - South Melbourne	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
24.02.24	Port Melbourne Sharks - Moreland City	3:1
03.06.23	Moreland City - Port Melbourne Sharks	0:5
04.03.23	Port Melbourne Sharks - Moreland City	1:1

Moreland City - Port Melbourne Sharks: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide