The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Morpeth Town 46.1%
Draw 21.2%
Stafford Rangers 32.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.9%
20.9%
22.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.9%
20.2%
21.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Morpeth Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Morpeth Town's form might have worsened.
Stafford Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stafford Rangers's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (+12.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Morpeth Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stafford Rangers than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stafford Rangers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Hodgson S. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Foalle J. ⚽,
37', 3 - 0, Hodgson S. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
56', 4 - 0, Hodgson S. ⚽,
89', 5 - 0, John F. ⚽,
90+3', 6 - 0, John F. ⚽,
Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
Stafford is Relegated to
Last 5 head-to-head matches Morpeth won 2.
Morpeth is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Stafford is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Stafford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Morpeth will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Morpeth won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Morpeth won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.
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