Match Info

Date: 27 December 2021, Monday


	Scarborough Athletic		Morpeth Town

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	2.75
	2.18	3.4	2.8
	2.16	3.57	3.1
	2.2	3.2	2.88
	2.1	3.56	3.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.08)	3.45 ↓ (3.53)	2.92 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Scarborough Athletic
42.4%

Draw
26.4%

Morpeth Town
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

25.6%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

17.8%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Scarborough Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Morpeth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scarborough Athletic than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Scarborough Athletic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Morpeth Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Scarborough Athletic - Morpeth Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Scarborough is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Morpeth in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Morpeth have a series of home games.

Scarborough will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Scarborough won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Scarborough won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Scarborough Athletic
English NPL Premier Division
18.12.21	Warrington Town - Scarborough Athletic	0:2 ✺
11.12.21	Bamber Bridge - Scarborough Athletic	0:2 ✺
07.12.21	Buxton - Scarborough Athletic	5:1 ✺
23.11.21	Scarborough Athletic - Atherton Collieries	0:1 ✺
20.11.21	Scarborough Athletic - Nantwich Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WWLLW
- Morpeth Town
English FA Trophy
18.12.21	Morpeth Town - Lancaster City	4:3 penalties ✺
English NPL Premier Division
04.12.21	Morpeth Town - Gainsborough Trinity	2:0 ✺
30.11.21	Morpeth Town - Basford United	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
27.11.21	Warrington Town - Morpeth Town	1:2 penalties ✺
English NPL Premier Division
20.11.21	Morpeth Town - Matlock Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
26.12.19	Scarborough Athletic - Morpeth Town	1:0

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