Match Info

Date: 15 January 2022, Saturday


	Morpeth Town		Boston United

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.4	1.93
	3.35	3.45	1.92
	3.47	3.61	2
	3.5	3.5	1.83
	3.44	3.74	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↓ (3.54)	3.54 ↓ (3.65)	1.94 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morpeth Town
26.9%

Draw
25.8%

Boston United
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

25.3%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

16.5%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morpeth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Boston United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Morpeth Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston United than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Boston United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Morpeth Town - Boston United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Morpeth is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Boston United is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Boston United could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Boston United have a series of home games.

Boston United will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morpeth Town
English NPL Premier Division
11.01.22	Ashton United - Morpeth Town	1:2 ✺
08.01.22	Morpeth Town - Stafford Rangers	2:2 ✺
01.01.22	Morpeth Town - Whitby Town	2:0 ✺
27.12.21	Scarborough Athletic - Morpeth Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.12.21	Morpeth Town - Lancaster City	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WTWTW
- Boston United
English National League North
08.01.22	Gloucester City - Boston United	0:0 ✺
02.01.22	Boston United - Alfreton Town	2:3 ✺
28.12.21	Boston United - Brackley Town	1:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.12.21	Boston United - Kidderminster Harriers	4:1 ✺
English National League North
11.12.21	Boston United - Kidderminster Harriers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLLWL

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