Match Info

Date: 19 December 2020, Saturday


	Morpeth Town		Notts County

	1	X	2
	6.75	5.5	1.28
	6.1	5.1	1.33
	6.2	4.9	1.34
	6.53	5.74	1.37
	6.5	5	1.35
	6.35	5.35	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.41 ↓ (7.5)	5.27 ↑ (5.25)	1.35 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morpeth Town
14.3%

Draw
17.4%

Notts County
68.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.2%

17.5%

70.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

9.9%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morpeth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Morpeth Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-28.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Notts County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Morpeth Town - Notts County Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Notts County could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Notts County have a series of home games.

In this match Notts County is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morpeth Town
English FA Trophy
15.12.20	Blyth Spartans - Morpeth Town	Morpeth walkover ✺
08.12.20	Runcorn Linnets - Morpeth Town	2:3 penalties ✺
English NPL Premier Division
03.11.20	Morpeth Town - Bamber Bridge	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
31.10.20	Morpeth Town - Whitby Town	3:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
27.10.20	Stalybridge Celtic - Morpeth Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 ?WWWL
- Notts County
English National League
15.12.20	Notts County - Stockport County	1:0 ✺
08.12.20	Notts County - Boreham Wood	0:1 ✺
05.12.20	Notts County - Woking	1:0 ✺
02.12.20	Dagenham & Redbridge - Notts County	0:0 ✺
27.11.20	Notts County - Wealdstone	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWTW

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