Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 19

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Morpeth Town		Rushall Olympic

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	3.25
	2.30	3.57	2.77	Watch
	1.98	3.48	3.24
	1.95	3.6	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.3)	3.51 ↓ (3.57)	3.13 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morpeth Town
44.7%

Draw
26%

Rushall Olympic
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

26%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

25%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morpeth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Rushall Olympic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rushall Olympic than the current prediction. (+3%)

Morpeth Town - Rushall Olympic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Dowling W. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Rushall may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Morpeth will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Morpeth Town - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.41%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Rushall Olympic - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 33.55%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morpeth Town
English NPL Premier Division
15.11.25	Ashton United - Morpeth Town	3:2 ✺
11.11.25	Morpeth Town - Stocksbridge Park Steels	3:0 ✺
08.11.25	Morpeth Town - Bamber Bridge	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Hyde United - Morpeth Town	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Bradford Park Avenue - Morpeth Town	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWLL
- Rushall Olympic
English NPL Premier Division
15.11.25	Rushall Olympic - Workington	3:3 ✺
08.11.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Rushall Olympic	1:1 ✺
05.11.25	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Rushall Olympic	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Rushall Olympic - Prescot Cables	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Whitby Town - Rushall Olympic	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTWLL

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