Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 25

Date: 1 January 2026, Thursday


	Morpeth Town		Stockton Town

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.35	2.4
	2.52	3.74	2.47	Watch
	2.3	3.25	2.63
	2.64	3.4	2.33
	2.45	3.6	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.54)	3.47 ↑ (3.33)	2.46 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morpeth Town
36.6%

Draw
26.3%

Stockton Town
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

27.2%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

27.6%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morpeth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

The chances for Stockton Town have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockton Town than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Morpeth Town - Stockton Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Stockton Town (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Purewal A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', 0 - 2, Petitjean J. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Morpeth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Morpeth won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Morpeth won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Stockton	12	3	2	7	15:22	-7	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morpeth Town
English NPL Premier Division
26.12.25	Whitby Town - Morpeth Town	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Hebburn Town - Morpeth Town	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Morpeth Town - Prescot Cables	2:0 ✺
02.12.25	Morpeth Town - Gainsborough Trinity	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Warrington Town - Morpeth Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLWTT
- Stockton Town
English NPL Premier Division
26.12.25	Stockton Town - Hebburn Town	4:1 ✺
20.12.25	Workington - Stockton Town	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Stockton Town - Whitby Town	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Stockton Town	1:1 ✺
02.12.25	Stockton Town - Leek Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
25.08.25	Stockton Town - Morpeth Town	2:0
19.04.25	Stockton Town - Morpeth Town	1:1
20.08.24	Morpeth Town - Stockton Town	2:1

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