Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 30

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday


	Morpeth Town		Worksop Town

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.6	1.85
	3.35	3.75	1.87
	3.38	3.92	1.91
	3.46	3.86	1.93
	3.4	3.55	1.91
	3.35	3.75	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (2.96)	3.74 ↑ (3.64)	1.89 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morpeth Town
27.2%

Draw
24.5%

Worksop Town
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

25.1%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

24.2%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morpeth Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Worksop Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morpeth Town than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worksop Town than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Worksop Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Morpeth Town - Worksop Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Starcenko A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
75', 0 - 2, Starcenko A. ⚽,
81', Henderson J. 🟥,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Morpeth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Morpeth have a series of guest games.

Worksop will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Morpeth won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:7 (average 2:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Morpeth won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morpeth Town
English NPL Premier Division
28.01.25	Morpeth Town - Guiseley	2:0 ✺
25.01.25	Hyde United - Morpeth Town	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Ilkeston - Morpeth Town	4:2 ✺
14.01.25	Hebburn Town - Morpeth Town	2:3 ✺
04.01.25	United of Manchester - Morpeth Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WTLWL
- Worksop Town
English NPL Premier Division
25.01.25	Worksop Town - Guiseley	1:4 ✺
18.01.25	Prescot Cables - Worksop Town	2:2 ✺
04.01.25	Macclesfield Town - Worksop Town	3:1 ✺
01.01.25	Worksop Town - Gainsborough Trinity	4:1 ✺
28.12.24	Basford United - Worksop Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
22.10.24	Worksop Town - Morpeth Town	0:2
13.04.24	Morpeth Town - Worksop Town	4:0
07.11.23	Worksop Town - Morpeth Town	7:0

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