Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 22

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	Mortágua		Lajense

	1	X	2
	1.9	3	4.05
	1.93	2.89	3.94
	1.93	3.04	4.09	Watch
	1.95	2.8	3.8
	1.88	2.94	4.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.84)	2.93 ↓ (3.15)	4.05 ↓ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mortágua
47%

Draw
30.7%

Lajense
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

28.8%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

28%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mortágua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Lajense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mortágua than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lajense than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Mortágua - Lajense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Mortágua has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lajense is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Mortágua is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mortágua won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Mortagua	4	3	1	0	9:4	5	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mortágua FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
08.03.26	Mortágua - Fatima	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Samora Correia - Mortágua	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Mortágua - Peniche	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Oliveira Hospital - Mortágua	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	SC Lusitânia - Mortágua	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LLWWW
- JD Lajense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
08.03.26	Lajense - União da Serra	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Fatima - Lajense	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Lajense - SB Castelo Branco	2:3 ✺
15.02.26	Samora Correia - Lajense	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Lajense - Eléctrico	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
08.11.25	Lajense - Mortágua	1:1

Mortágua - Lajense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide