Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 20

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday


	Samora Correia		Mortágua

	1	X	2
	4.05	3.4	1.75
	3.26	2.71	2.33
	3.3	2.74	2.36	Watch
	3	2.7	2.3
	3.32	2.71	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (3.38)	2.85 ↑ (2.84)	2.21 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samora Correia
26.9%

Draw
31.9%

Mortágua
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

32.1%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

30.9%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samora Correia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Mortágua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samora Correia than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mortágua than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Samora Correia - Mortágua Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
80', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Recent performances by Samora Correia have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mortágua is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Mortágua will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Samora Correia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Mortagua	4	3	1	0	9:4	5	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Samora Correia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
22.02.26	Fatima - Samora Correia	2:2 ✺
15.02.26	Samora Correia - Lajense	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Oliveira Hospital - Samora Correia	4:0 ✺
17.01.26	Samora Correia - Marinhense	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	SC Lusitânia - Samora Correia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TWLLW
- Mortágua FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
22.02.26	Mortágua - Peniche	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Oliveira Hospital - Mortágua	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	SC Lusitânia - Mortágua	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Mortágua - União da Serra	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	SB Castelo Branco - Mortágua	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
26.10.25	Mortágua - Samora Correia	0:0

Samora Correia - Mortágua: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide