Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 20

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Parque de Jogos Pardal Monteiro (Sintra)


	Pero Pinheiro		Alverca B

	1	X	2
	2.95	3	2.32
	2.62	3.06	2.66
	2.78	2.99	2.58
	2.95	3	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (3.2)	3.01 ↓ (3.1)	2.47 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pero Pinheiro
32.5%

Draw
30.4%

Alverca B
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

29%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

28.4%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pero Pinheiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Alverca B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alverca B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pero Pinheiro than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alverca B than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Pero Pinheiro - Alverca B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45+3', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
74', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Pero Pinheiro is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Alverca B is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alverca B will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pero Pinheiro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Pero Pinheiro
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
16.02.25	Sertanense - Pero Pinheiro	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Pero Pinheiro - União de Coimbra	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Marinhense - Pero Pinheiro	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Pero Pinheiro - Peniche	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	SB Castelo Branco - Pero Pinheiro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 LTTTL
- Alverca B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
16.02.25	Pombal - Alverca B	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Alverca B - Sertanense	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	União de Coimbra - Alverca B	1:4 ✺
26.01.25	Alverca B - Marinhense	0:1 ✺
19.01.25	Peniche - Alverca B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
27.10.24	Alverca B - Pero Pinheiro	3:1

Pero Pinheiro - Alverca B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide