Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-LIGAEN - ROUND 21

Date: 28 August 2023, Monday

Location: Melløs Stadion (Moss)

Referee: Sletner H. (Nor)


	Moss		Kristiansund

	1	X	2
	3	3.75	2.2	Watch
	2.75	3.65	2.3
	2.95	3.89	2.23
	2.7	3.2	2.25
	2.9	3.75	2.24	Watch
	2.75	3.6	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↓ (2.86)	3.64 ↑ (3.43)	2.24 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moss
32.8%

Draw
25.6%

Kristiansund
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

27%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

26.8%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moss has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Kristiansund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moss than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kristiansund than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	12.5%	62.5%

Moss - Kristiansund Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Moss will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Kristiansund will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kristiansund: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ranmark M. (G) 2. Andresen M. 5. Kukleci I. 4. Gjesdal H. 27. Haugli S. 15. Hapnes A. 6. Makosso K. 20. Potur A. 23. Alexandersson N. (C) 19. Pedersen S. 14. Braga C.	30. Mbaye S. (G) 2. Nilsen S. 6. Hopmark A. 5. Ulvestad D. (C) 26. Williamsen M. 15. Rakneberg M. 21. Broholm M. 14. Isaksen J. 7. Gjertsen T. 9. Stokke B. 17. Willumsson B.
Substitutes
7. Ali A. 12. Bachke E. (G) 8. Hellesto V. 21. Hoffmann I. 25. Hussein A. 11. Jakobsen T. 26. Kjeilen Stavdal O. 17. Mendy L. 13. Race H.	35. Aalberg I. H. 3. Aasbak C. 24. Agbo D. 38. Alemseged A. 31. Alvheim L. 16. Konradsen Ceide M. 1. McDermott S. (G) 13. Olsen M. 37. Sivertsen O.
Coaches
Myhre T.	Michelsen C.

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 8).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Moss won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moss FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
23.08.23	Bryne - Moss	3:1 ✺
20.08.23	Moss - Mjøndalen	4:1 ✺
13.08.23	Sandnes Ulf - Moss	2:0 ✺
09.08.23	Moss - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	0:1 ✺
05.08.23	Jerv - Moss	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLT
- Kristiansund BK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
23.08.23	Kristiansund - Sandnes Ulf	0:1 ✺
20.08.23	Fredrikstad - Kristiansund	4:1 ✺
13.08.23	Kristiansund - Jerv	3:1 ✺
05.08.23	Kristiansund - Start	1:1 ✺
08.07.23	Raufoss - Kristiansund	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
10.06.23	Kristiansund - Moss	4:1

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