Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-LIGAEN - ROUND 16

Date: 5 August 2023, Saturday

Location: J.J. Ugland Stadion – Levermyr (Grimstad)

Referee: Koloy M. (Nor)


	Jerv		Moss

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	3.1	Watch
	2.15	3.4	2.9
	2.2	3.55	2.95
	2.19	3.69	3.16
	2.1	3.3	2.88
	2.17	3.64	3.1	Watch
	2.18	3.4	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.18)	3.5 ↑ (3.43)	3.01 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jerv
42.6%

Draw
26.5%

Moss
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

26.9%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

25.9%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jerv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Moss has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerv than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moss than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Jerv - Moss Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Jerv will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Moss will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Ovretveit O. (C) 4. Mutsinzi A. 5. Sandberg E. 27. Philibert E. 7. Hauge R. 15. Brenden E. 3. Larade L. 21. Auklend S. 22. Bredeli H. 54. Syvertsen P. 11. Robalo Pedro S. L.	1. Ranmark M. (G) 2. Andresen M. 3. Strande K. (C) 4. Gjesdal H. 21. Hoffmann I. 20. Potur A. 6. Makosso K. 15. Hapnes A. 23. Alexandersson N. 14. Braga C. 7. Ali A.
Substitutes
26. Dirdal G. 88. Duesund E. 10. Fernandes L. 9. Hustad E. 16. Krogelien H. 23. Ness T. 8. Ugland M. 2. Wichne T.	12. Bachke E. (G) 18. Getz L. 27. Haugli S. 25. Hussein A. 11. Jakobsen T. 26. Kjeilen Stavdal O. 5. Kukleci I. 17. Mendy L. 19. Pedersen S.
Coaches
Kjono E.	Myhre T.

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 and 7).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Jerv will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Jerv won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Jerv
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
08.07.23	Sogndal - Jerv	5:1 ✺
01.07.23	Jerv - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	4:3 ✺
23.06.23	Start - Jerv	2:1 ✺
10.06.23	Jerv - Raufoss	1:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
07.06.23	Kjelsås - Jerv	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLWL
- Moss FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
09.07.23	Moss - Bryne	2:1 ✺
01.07.23	Mjøndalen - Moss	1:2 ✺
25.06.23	Moss - Kongsvinger	0:1 ✺
10.06.23	Kristiansund - Moss	4:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
07.06.23	Sogndal - Moss	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
30.04.23	Moss - Jerv	2:1

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