Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 24

Date: 29 September 2025, Monday

Location: Melløs Stadion (Moss)

Referee: Kellerhals M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Moss		Lillestrøm SK

	1	X	2
	6	5.25	1.38	Watch
	6.3	4.95	1.41	Watch
	6.76	5.35	1.39
	12.22	8.10	1.16	Watch
	6.6	5	1.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.58 ↑ (6.77)	5.73 ↑ (5.13)	1.35 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moss
12.6%

Draw
16.7%

Lillestrøm SK
70.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.8%

18.3%

67.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3%

17.7%

70.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Lillestrøm SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moss than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lillestrøm SK than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Moss - Lillestrøm SK Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Moss will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Lillestrøm will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Moss (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eriksen M. E. (G) 6. Lassen M. 3. Strande K. (C) 4. Harrison K. 46. Kvale W. 21. Gronli S. 9. Musbaudeen J. 17. Andersen P. 2. Cassidy M. 11. Jakobsen T. 47. Rossi L.	12. Hedenstad M. (G) 2. Ranger L. 4. Garnas E. B. 5. Foss S. 19. Tonnesen K. 8. Karlsbakk M. 6. Hoff V. 32. Woxen H. 26. Paintsil Y. 10. Olsen T. (C) 15. Drammeh S.
Substitutes
49. Afonso M. 23. Barros J. 15. Engesvik A. A. 29. Mayonga M. 19. Memedov A. 5. Race E. 12. Sundling J. (G) 8. Vold Krohg H. 24. Welinder M.	11. Elkaer F. 20. Felix Va 28. Gabrielsen R. 1. Hagerup S. (G) 17. Kitolano E. 64. Larsson E. 31. Ntiso A. C. 30. Svenningsen L.
Coaches
Nesselquist O. M.	Odegaard H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
7', 0 - 1, Olsen T. (Pen),
13', Rossi L. 🟨,
40', 0 - 2, Woxen H. ⚽, Drammeh S. (A),
45+2', 0 - 3, Karlsbakk M. ⚽, Woxen H. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Rossi L. ↓, Memedov A. ↑,
47', Hoff V. 🟨,
47', 0 - 4, Ranger L. ⚽,
57', Ranger L. 🟨,
60', 1 - 4, Gronli S. ⚽,
61', Paintsil Y. ↓, Felix Va ↑,
61', Ranger L. ↓, Larsson E. ↑,
61', Hoff V. ↓, Kitolano E. ↑,
65', Andersen P. ↓, Vold Krohg H. ↑,
68', 1 - 5, Drammeh S. ⚽,
70', Tonnesen K. 🟨,
73', Gronli S. ↓, Engesvik A. A. ↑,
73', Cassidy M. ↓, Mayonga M. ↑,
73', Tonnesen K. ↓, Elkaer F. ↑,
85', Jakobsen T. ↓, Afonso M. ↑,
86', Drammeh S. ↓, Ntiso A. C. ↑,
90', Felix Va 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien).

Recent form of Moss has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lillestrøm is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Moss may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Moss has had a series of away games.

In this match, Lillestrøm is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Moss won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:8. (average 0:4).

Including home match between the teams, Moss won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moss FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
20.09.25	Hødd - Moss	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Skeid - Moss	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Moss - Mjøndalen	3:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
27.08.25	Kjelsås - Moss	2:1 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
23.08.25	Sogndal - Moss	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTWLL
- Lillestrøm SK
Norwegian NM Cup
24.09.25	Sandnes Ulf - Lillestrøm SK	1:2 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
20.09.25	Lillestrøm SK - Mjøndalen	4:1 ✺
13.09.25	Sogndal - Lillestrøm SK	1:5 ✺
30.08.25	Lillestrøm SK - Skeid	3:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
27.08.25	Hønefoss - Lillestrøm SK	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
03.05.25	Lillestrøm SK - Moss	3:0
Norwegian NM Cup
07.05.14	Moss - Lillestrøm SK	0:5

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