Match Info

MALTA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 12

Date: 4 December 2022, Sunday

Location: Charles Abela Memorial Stadium (Mosta)


	Mosta		Żebbuġ Rangers

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.35	4.4	7
	1.35	4.5	6.8
	1.4	4.81	6.3
	1.33	4.2	8
	1.33	4.6	7.6
	1.37	4.7	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.84)	4.54 ↑ (3.48)	7.15 ↑ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mosta
67.2%

Draw
20.1%

Żebbuġ Rangers
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

25.8%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

25.1%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mosta's performance.

Żebbuġ Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Żebbuġ Rangers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mosta than the current prediction. (-17%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mosta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Żebbuġ Rangers than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Żebbuġ Rangers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	10%	40%

Mosta - Żebbuġ Rangers Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Mosta will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Żebbuġ will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mosta: 19% – 81%.

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 12 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).

Recent matches Mosta is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Żebbuġ is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mosta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mosta is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mosta won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Mosta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mosta FC
Maltese Premier League
13.11.22	Balzan - Mosta	1:2 ✺
04.11.22	Mosta - Gżira United	0:2 ✺
29.10.22	Birkirkara - Mosta	1:2 ✺
22.10.22	Hamrun Spartans - Mosta	2:1 ✺
15.10.22	Mosta - Valletta	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 WLWLW
- Żebbuġ Rangers
Maltese Premier League
27.11.22	Żebbuġ Rangers - Hamrun Spartans	4:2 ✺
06.11.22	Valletta - Żebbuġ Rangers	3:0 ✺
29.10.22	Żebbuġ Rangers - Floriana	0:1 ✺
21.10.22	Sirens - Żebbuġ Rangers	3:3 ✺
16.10.22	Żebbuġ Rangers - Pietà Hotspurs	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
07.12.14	Żebbuġ Rangers - Mosta	1:1
27.08.14	Mosta - Żebbuġ Rangers	2:0

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