Match Info

MALTA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 11

Date: 27 November 2022, Sunday

Location: Hibernians Ground (Paola)


	Żebbuġ Rangers		Hamrun Spartans

	1	X	2
	14	7.5	1.13
	15	6.6	1.12
	14.13	7.22	1.17
	10	7	1.14
	15.75	7.2	1.12
	16	7.4	1.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	14.15 ↑ (6.6)	7.15 ↑ (4.34)	1.14 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Żebbuġ Rangers
6.5%

Draw
12.8%

Hamrun Spartans
80.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.7%

20.8%

65.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.6%

20.7%

65.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Żebbuġ Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Żebbuġ Rangers's form might have worsened.

Hamrun Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hamrun Spartans's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Żebbuġ Rangers than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Żebbuġ Rangers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamrun Spartans than the current prediction. (-14.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hamrun Spartans, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Żebbuġ Rangers - Hamrun Spartans Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Żebbuġ will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Hamrun will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Challenge League and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification)).

Żebbuġ has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Hamrun is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Hamrun is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Żebbuġ Rangers
Maltese Premier League
06.11.22	Valletta - Żebbuġ Rangers	3:0 ✺
29.10.22	Żebbuġ Rangers - Floriana	0:1 ✺
21.10.22	Sirens - Żebbuġ Rangers	3:3 ✺
16.10.22	Żebbuġ Rangers - Pietà Hotspurs	0:1 ✺
07.10.22	Paola Hibernians - Żebbuġ Rangers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLTLL
- Hamrun Spartans
Maltese Premier League
06.11.22	Hamrun Spartans - Balzan	1:0 ✺
30.10.22	Gżira United - Hamrun Spartans	1:2 ✺
22.10.22	Hamrun Spartans - Mosta	2:1 ✺
15.10.22	Birkirkara - Hamrun Spartans	0:0 ✺
08.10.22	Valletta - Hamrun Spartans	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWTW

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