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Current Win Probability
Valletta 56.8%
Draw 26.4%
Mosta 16.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.9%
19.2%
10.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
73.3%
18.3%
10.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valletta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valletta's form might have worsened.
Mosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mosta's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valletta than the current prediction. (+16.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valletta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mosta than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mosta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Valletta - Mosta Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Valletta will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Valletta (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
90. Maringa Adilson (G) 11. Azzopardi J. 4. Borg S. 80. Gomes E. 94. Jefferson 98. Mendoza J. 44. Micallef N. 10. Paiber B. (C) 55. Radic S. 77. Thaylor 50. Yuri
22. Udoh A. (G) 21. Agius 3. Bolanos M. 97. Caio Sena 9. Daniel GTA 6. Diarra A. 26. Emmanuel P. 4. Farrugia K. 14. Joao Victor 96. Leo Fernandes 16. Sciberras G. (C)
Substitutes
1. Aquilina T. (G) 28. Brewer S. 5. Cassar Z. 9. Ciolacu A. 19. Ewurum K. 13. Frendo L. (G) 33. Mbende E. 31. Melillo T. 24. Muscat R. 20. Yankam Y. 8. Zammit A.
2. Agius A. 77. Brincat Z. 20. Caruana R. 11. Chibuike C. 33. Farrugia B. 99. Farrugia J. (G) 10. Giancarlo 13. Luke U. 30. Okereke C. 7. Scerri J. 74. Vassallo J.
Coaches
Micallef T.
Grech J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Emmanuel P. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Micallef N. ↓, Mbende E. ↑,
50', Daniel GTA 🟨,
55', Daniel GTA ↓, Chibuike C. ↑,
61', Azzopardi J. ↓, Zammit A. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Yuri ⚽,
67', Bolanos M. 🟨,
73', 2 - 1, Radic S. ⚽,
76', Farrugia K. ↓, Giancarlo ↑,
76', Diarra A. ↓, Okereke C. ↑,
76', Emmanuel P. ↓, Brincat Z. ↑,
79', 3 - 1, Zammit A. ⚽,
80', Gomes E. 🟨,
80', Okereke C. 🟨,
82', 4 - 1, Thaylor ⚽,
83', Gomes E. ↓, Brewer S. ↑,
84', Mendoza J. ↓, Melillo T. ↑,
84', Jefferson ↓, Yankam Y. ↑,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: ) and 9 in the zone Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valletta won 0.
Valletta is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Mosta is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Mosta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Mosta has had a series of away games.
In this match, Valletta is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valletta won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:18. (average 1.8:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Valletta won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:5. (average 1.9:0.6).
Malta
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Maringa Adilson (G) 
Azzopardi J. 
Gomes E. 
Mendoza J. 
Radic S. 
Thaylor 
Udoh A. (G) 
Bolanos M. 
Diarra A. 
Brewer S. 
Ciolacu A. 
Mbende E. 
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