The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Olancho 28.1%
Draw 27.2%
Motagua 44.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.7%
28.2%
35%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.2%
28.6%
34.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olancho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Olancho's form might have worsened.
Motagua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Motagua's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olancho than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olancho, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Motagua, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Olancho - Motagua Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Argueta G. (G) 2. Almendarez O. 14. Argueta C. 11. Calix C. 24. Elvir O. 8. Gomez H. 3. Lasso J. 34. Lopez K. 5. Martinez D. 26. Perea G. 9. Sanchez J.
22. Ortiz L. (G) 19. De Olivera R. 5. Discua O. 35. Melendez C. (C) 8. Melendez C. 17. Portillo J. C. 23. Reyes A. 11. Romario 34. Sacaza G. 7. Serrano J. 4. Vega L.
Substitutes
17. Benitez E. 23. Delgado J. 15. Dominguez J. 1. Fonseca H. (G) 10. Leiva G. 12. Mejia Y. 33. Munoz N. 27. Murillo D. 30. Ramirez Arauz M. R. 7. Rodriguez D. 18. Villatoro A. 21. Zuniga Bernardez C. J.
14. Barrios A. 2. Cacho P. 10. Gomez R. 15. Hernandez A. 29. John Kleber 25. Licona M. (G) 27. Macias J. 77. Mejia C. 56. Palma C. 26. Santamaria L. 12. Santos M. 6. Zapata R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
2', Serrano J. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Reyes A. ⚽,
38', De Olivera R. 🟨,
45+2', Elvir O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Calix C. ↓, Ramirez Arauz M. R. ↑,
46', Gomez H. ↓, Delgado J. ↑,
46', Sanchez J. ↓, Zuniga Bernardez C. J. ↑,
51', 0 - 2, De Olivera R. ⚽,
60', Vega L. ↓, Santos M. ↑,
60', Romario ↓, Macias J. ↑,
63', Martinez D. ↓, Leiva G. ↑,
69', De Olivera R. ↓, John Kleber ↑,
69', Lopez K. ↓, Murillo D. ↑,
89', Serrano J. ↓, Santamaria L. ↑,
89', Melendez C. ↓, Palma C. ↑,
90+9', Delgado J. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olancho won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Olancho may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Olancho won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:21. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Olancho won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 0.9:0.7).
Watch
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Argueta G. (G) 
Lasso J. 
Sanchez J. 
De Olivera R. 
Romario 
Benitez E. 
Leiva G. 
Gomez R. 
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