Match Info

Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 4

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles (Tegucigalpa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Motagua		Lobos UPNFM

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.90	5.00
	1.43	3.95	5.9
	1.52	3.8	5.18
	1.58	3.95	5.48	Watch
	1.48	3.55	5.05
	1.51	3.88	5.5	Watch
	1.51	3.8	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.44)	3.83 ↓ (3.85)	5.33 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motagua
59.7%

Draw
23.5%

Lobos UPNFM
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

22.9%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motagua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Lobos UPNFM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Motagua - Lobos UPNFM Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 2nd Half - Motagua (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Motagua (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Ortiz L. (G) 3. Cacho P. 19. De Olivera R. 5. Discua O. 10. Gomez R. (C) 27. Macias J. 17. Portillo J. 23. Reyes A. 26. Santamaria L. 7. Serrano J. 4. Vega L.	12. Guity A. (G) 24. Elvir O. 11. Elvir S. (C) 4. Garcia J. 7. Hurtado L. 77. Mejia C. 8. Nunez J. 6. Ponce J. 3. Rodas Andrino G. J. 2. Suazo D. 5. Zuniga A.
Substitutes
42. Argueta J. 28. Avila A. 21. Batiz J. 24. Garcia J. 15. Hernandez A. 25. Licona M. (G) 36. Marinacci V. 35. Melendez C. 30. Miranda J. 9. Moya J. 34. Sacaza G.	16. Carter D. 23. Castrillo J. 21. Erazo A. 15. Glavocic J. 10. Hinestroza Y. 55. Lagos D. (G) 19. Lagos D. 26. Lopez B. 20. Lopez E. 32. Martinez J. 17. Rodas D. 13. Rodriguez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, De Olivera R. ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, Serrano J. ⚽,
45+2', 3 - 0, Gomez R. ⚽,
45+4', Suazo D. 🟨,
45+4', Mejia C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Elvir O. ↓, Glavocic J. ↑,
46', Guity A. ↓, Lagos D. ↑,
46', Suazo D. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
46', Hurtado L. ↓, Hinestroza Y. ↑,
46', Reyes A. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
48', Mejia C. ↓, Carter D. ↑,
60', Portillo J. ↓, Marinacci V. ↑,
60', Macias J. ↓, Miranda J. ↑,
71', Vega L. ↓, Avila A. ↑,
72', Rodas Andrino G. J. 🟨,
73', 4 - 0, De Olivera R. ⚽,
75', De Olivera R. ↓, Moya J. ↑,
86', 4 - 1, Carter D. ⚽,
90+1', Lopez E. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motagua won 1.

Motagua is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Motagua may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Motagua is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Motagua won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 46:22. (average 2.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Motagua won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 30:12. (average 3:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Motagua	8	4	1	3	11:8	3	13
9	UPNFM	8	2	2	4	7:12	-5	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
16.08.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Motagua	3:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
12.08.26	Motagua - Cartagines	1:1 ✺
06.08.26	Motagua - CD FAS	1:0 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
02.08.26	Juticalpa - Motagua	0:3 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
28.07.26	Verdes - Motagua	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTWWW
- Lobos UPNFM
Honduras Liga Nacional
15.08.26	Lobos UPNFM - Estrella Roja de Danlí	2:2 ✺
02.08.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Lobos UPNFM	2:0 ✺
30.04.26	Lobos UPNFM - Motagua	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Juticalpa - Lobos UPNFM	1:0 ✺
23.04.26	Lobos UPNFM - Génesis PN	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
30.04.26	Lobos UPNFM - Motagua	2:1
11.03.26	Motagua - Lobos UPNFM	2:0
27.11.25	Lobos UPNFM - Motagua	0:0
13.09.25	Motagua - Lobos UPNFM	3:3
07.04.25	Lobos UPNFM - Motagua	2:1
06.02.25	Motagua - Lobos UPNFM	5:0
28.09.24	Lobos UPNFM - Motagua	0:2

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