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Current Win Probability
Ross County 43.2%
Draw 27.3%
Arbroath 29.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.2%
27.6%
29.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.1%
28.2%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Ross County have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Arbroath has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ross County than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arbroath than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.2%
0%
77.8%
Ross County - Arbroath Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Ross County will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Arbroath will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Arbroath: 50.6% – 100%.
30. Carson T. (G) 6. Randall C. 31. Gallagher D. 16. Iacovitti A. 3. O'Sullivan L. 7. Henderson J. 23. Docherty R. 38. Lindsay J. 27. Duncan R. 26. White J. 9. Hale R.
1. McAdams A. (G) 27. Enem V. 2. Kabongolo B. 5. O'Brien T. 4. Wilkie J. 9. Steven T. 8. Flynn R. 25. Cochrane H. 15. MacIntyre J. 17. Marshall F. 10. Reilly G.
Substitutes
39. Coyle J. 21. Foster B. (G) 12. Fraser S. 1. Laidlaw R. (G) 17. Mackay-Steven G. 11. Phillips K. 44. Scott J. 15. Smith D. 25. Wells-Morrison J.
7. Gold D. 3. Hamilton C. 62. Mebude D. 6. Muirhead A. 18. Pettifer A. 21. Pettigrew J. (G) 19. Todorov N.
Coaches
Robertson J.
Hamilton C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, MacIntyre J. ⚽, Enem V. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Iacovitti A. 🟨,
53', O'Brien T. 🟨,
65', MacIntyre J. 🟨,
75', Duncan R. ↓, Mackay-Steven G. ↑,
79', Iacovitti A. ↓, Smith D. ↑,
83', 0 - 2, Steven T. ⚽, Enem V. (A),
84', Henderson J. ↓, Scott J. ↑,
84', Docherty R. ↓, Fraser S. ↑,
84', Hale R. ↓, Phillips K. ↑,
86', MacIntyre J. ↓, Mebude D. ↑,
86', Reilly G. ↓, Todorov N. ↑,
89', Steven T. ↓, Muirhead A. ↑,
90+3', Marshall F. ↓, Pettifer A. ↑,
Preview
Ross County has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Arbroath is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Ross County could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ross County won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Ross County won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).