Match Info

Date: 15 October 2022, Saturday


	Motor Lublin		Kotwica Kołobrzeg

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.4	2.05
	3	2.95	2.2
	2.95	3.35	2.11
	3.05	3.52	2.18
	3	3.1	2.1
	3	3.42	2.11	Watch
	3.05	3.45	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.69)	3.31 ↑ (3.15)	2.13 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motor Lublin
30.2%

Draw
27.3%

Kotwica Kołobrzeg
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

28.9%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

29.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motor Lublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Kotwica Kołobrzeg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kotwica Kołobrzeg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kotwica Kołobrzeg than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kotwica Kołobrzeg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Motor Lublin - Kotwica Kołobrzeg Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Motor will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Kotwica Kołobrzeg will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1).

Recent matches Motor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kotwica Kołobrzeg is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kotwica Kołobrzeg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Motor Lublin
Polish Division 2
09.10.22	Radunia Stężyca - Motor Lublin	1:1 ✺
01.10.22	Motor Lublin - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:0 ✺
25.09.22	Hutnik - Motor Lublin	1:3 ✺
18.09.22	Motor Lublin - Wisła Puławy	2:6 ✺
10.09.22	Lech Poznań 2 - Motor Lublin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTWLL
- FC Kotwica Kołobrzeg
Polish Division 2
08.10.22	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Polkowice	1:0 ✺
04.10.22	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Garbarnia Kraków	3:0 ✺
01.10.22	Olimpia Elbląg - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	2:0 ✺
18.09.22	Polonia Warsaw - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1:1 ✺
10.09.22	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLTW

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