Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 11

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Motor Lublin Arena (Lublin) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Krasny S. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bosnia And Herzegovina	14:45	Arena Sport 4
Canada	08:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Croatia	14:45	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Poland	14:45	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	08:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN Sports 5, beIN Sports US Espanol, beIN Sports XTRA


	Motor Lublin		Śląsk Wrocław

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.60	4.20	Watch
	1.80	3.70	4.10
	1.80	3.80	4.00
	1.85	3.94	4.10
	1.8	3.94	4.23	Watch
	1.82	3.90	4.00
	1.81	3.72	4.34	Watch
	1.80	3.65	4.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.17)	3.78 ↑ (3.09)	4.12 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motor Lublin
52.2%

Draw
24.9%

Śląsk Wrocław
22.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.8%

28.7%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

27.3%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Motor Lublin's performance.

Śląsk Wrocław has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Śląsk Wrocław might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Motor Lublin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Śląsk Wrocław could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Motor Lublin - Śląsk Wrocław Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Motor will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Śląsk will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Motor (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Motor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Tratnik G. (G) 17. Lukoszek K. 39. Bartos M. 4. Plavotic T. 24. Luberecki F. 27. Bourhane Y. 30. Ndiaye M. 9. Rony Lopes 8. Kikis 70. Aiko M. 10. Czubak K. (C)	1. Niemczycki K. (G) 21. Timossi A. 33. Matsenko Y. 5. Ba L. 44. Malec M. 8. Llinares M. 7. Samiec-Talar P. (C) 17. Linetty K. 77. Shabani E. 11. Marjanac L. 19. Banaszak P.
Substitutes
5. Akatov A. 18. Bereszynski B. 11. Fabio Ronaldo 90. Gregorski D. 23. Haxha F. 6. Legowski M. 2. Meyer P. 71. Popa M. (G) 77. Posmyk M. 29. Santos T. 47. Tall A. 22. Zlomanczuk M.	18. Borys K. 88. Ciucka A. 10. Dembele P. M. 4. Dijakovic M. 9. Ieltsin Camoes 27. Jurcec J. 2. Szala D. 25. Szromnik M. (G) 20. Tomasiewicz G.
Coaches
Misiura M.	Simundza A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Banaszak P. ⚽, Samiec-Talar P. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Marjanac L. ↓, Dembele P. M. ↑,
50', Czubak K. (Penalty Awarded),
61', 1 - 1, Aiko M. ⚽, Bourhane Y. (A),
64', Banaszak P. 🟨,
66', 1 - 2, Dembele P. M. ⚽, Samiec-Talar P. (A),
71', Lukoszek K. ↓, Fabio Ronaldo ↑,
73', Ndiaye M. 🟨,
75', Banaszak P. ↓, Ieltsin Camoes ↑,
77', 2 - 2, Kikis ⚽,
81', Timossi A. ↓, Jurcec J. ↑,
82', Aiko M. ↓, Santos T. ↑,
83', Rony Lopes ↓, Tall A. ↑,
85', Shabani E. ↓, Tomasiewicz G. ↑,
85', Samiec-Talar P. ↓, Ciucka A. ↑,
87', Llinares M. 🟨,
90+2', Niemczycki K. 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 2, Bourhane Y. (Penalty Awarded),
90+4', Kikis ↓, Meyer P. ↑,
90+10', Czubak K. 🟨,

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 14th and 17th in the Relegation - Division 1).

In recent outings, Motor has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Śląsk is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Bookmakers give the edge to Motor for this game.

Confirmed absences for Śląsk: Christodoulou I. (Inactive) Mokrzycki M. (Knee Injury).

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Motor has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:2 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Motor against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Motor Lublin	12	3	4	5	17:21	-4	13
15	Slask Wroclaw	12	2	3	7	16:22	-6	9

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Motor Lublin: 0.09% Slask Wroclaw: 0.06%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Motor Lublin
Polish Ekstraklasa
12.10.26	Radomiak Radom - Motor Lublin	2:3 ✺
19.09.26	Motor Lublin - Górnik Zabrze	0:0 ✺
11.09.26	Raków Częstochowa - Motor Lublin	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Motor Lublin - Legia Warsaw	2:3 ✺
Polish Cup
01.09.26	Motor Lublin - Legia Warsaw	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WTLLW
- Śląsk Wrocław
Polish Ekstraklasa
10.10.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Lech Poznań	1:4 ✺
18.09.26	Wisła Kraków - Śląsk Wrocław	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Korona Kielce	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Śląsk Wrocław	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
03.09.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Pogoń Szczecin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
05.04.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Motor Lublin	1:1
28.09.24	Motor Lublin - Śląsk Wrocław	2:1

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