Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 9 - ROUND 15

Date: 18 December 2022, Sunday


	Real Jaén		Marbella

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.87	3.25
	2.12	2.8	3.15
	2.12	2.85	3.2
	2.15	2.9	3.31
	2.15	2.88	3.4
	2.12	3.1	3.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.4)	2.9 ↑ (2.66)	3.27 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Jaén
41.8%

Draw
30.8%

Marbella
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

32.7%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

33.5%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Jaén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Jaén's performance.

Marbella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (+3%)

Real Jaén - Marbella Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jaén won 2.

Jaén is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Marbella is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Marbella could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Jaén won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Jaén won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Jaén
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
11.12.22	Málaga Juniors - Real Jaén	0:0 ✺
07.12.22	Huétor Tájar - Real Jaén	0:0 ✺
03.12.22	Real Jaén - Huracán Melilla	7:0 ✺
27.11.22	Almeria B - Real Jaén	0:1 ✺
20.11.22	Real Jaén - Malaga B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TTWWW
- Marbella FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
11.12.22	Marbella - Huétor Tájar	2:1 ✺
08.12.22	Huracán Melilla - Marbella	0:1 ✺
04.12.22	Marbella - Almeria B	2:0 ✺
27.11.22	Malaga B - Marbella	0:0 ✺
20.11.22	Marbella - Arenas Armilla	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
20.02.22	Marbella - Real Jaén	5:2
24.10.21	Real Jaén - Marbella	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.04.17	Real Jaén - Marbella	2:0
13.11.16	Marbella - Real Jaén	2:2
24.03.16	Marbella - Real Jaén	0:1
08.11.15	Real Jaén - Marbella	0:1
15.02.15	Real Jaén - Marbella	0:0

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