Match Info

Date: 12 December 2020, Saturday


	Mouscron		Beerschot Wilrijk

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.8	1.9	Watch
	3.6	4	1.91
	3.6	4.1	1.89
	3.45	3.85	1.88
	3.65	4.27	1.92
	3.6	3.6	1.95
	3.75	3.94	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↑ (3.57)	3.94 ↑ (3.91)	1.91 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mouscron
26.3%

Draw
24.1%

Beerschot Wilrijk
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

24.2%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

19%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mouscron has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Beerschot Wilrijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mouscron than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mouscron that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beerschot Wilrijk than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Beerschot Wilrijk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mouscron - Beerschot Wilrijk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation to Proximus League and 3 in the zone Promotion to Jupiler League (Championship Group)).

Mouscron has a good chance of relegated (53%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Mouscron is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Beerschot Wilrijk is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Beerschot Wilrijk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Beerschot Wilrijk will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royal Excel Mouscron
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
08.12.20	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Mouscron	2:0 ✺
05.12.20	Beveren - Mouscron	2:0 ✺
01.12.20	Mouscron - Sint-Truidense	3:2 ✺
28.11.20	Mouscron - Club Brugge	0:0 ✺
25.11.20	Cercle Brugge - Mouscron	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 LLWTW
- FCO Beerschot Wilrijk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
06.12.20	Beerschot Wilrijk - Eupen	0:1 ✺
29.11.20	KV Mechelen - Beerschot Wilrijk	2:3 ✺
22.11.20	Beerschot Wilrijk - Anderlecht	2:1 ✺
07.11.20	Kortrijk - Beerschot Wilrijk	5:5 ✺
31.10.20	Beerschot Wilrijk - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWWTW

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