Match Info

BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League - Round 15

Date: 24 November 2024, Sunday

Location: AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne (Mechelen)

Referee: Visser L. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	ESPN 2, StarTimes App
Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	DAZN Canada
Denmark	Bold+
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Japan	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	Sporza
Nigeria	Sporty TV
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Spain	Gol Stadium
Turkey	Exxen
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+


	KV Mechelen		Beerschot Wilrijk

	1	X	2
	1.4	5	6.5	Watch
	1.43	5	6.5
	1.39	4.85	7.2
	1.41	5.21	6.77
	1.42	5.08	6.73
	1.42	5.03	6.9	Watch
	1.39	4.85	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.38)	5 ↑ (4.7)	6.83 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

KV Mechelen
67.2%

Draw
18.9%

Beerschot Wilrijk
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

19.3%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

19%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KV Mechelen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Beerschot Wilrijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beerschot Wilrijk than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

KV Mechelen - Beerschot Wilrijk Predictions

Users Predictions: KV Mechelen will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. De Wolf O. (G) 13. Vanheusden Z. 6. Touba A. 3. Marsa J. 17. Belghali R. 19. Mrabti K. 16. Schoofs R. (C) 23. Foulon D. 35. Bafdili B. 11. Storm N. 14. Raman B.	33. Shinton N. (G) 66. Tolis 5. Mbe Soh L. 6. Fayed O. 4. Plat B. 2. Dagba C. 8. Henderson E. 16. Al Ghamdi F. 10. Verlinden T. 17. Al Sahafi M. 25. Colassin A.
Substitutes
10. Dahl P. 7. Hairemans G. 9. Ngoy J. 32. Ouattara A. 77. Pflucke P. 4. Raemaekers T. 15. Thoelen Y. (G) 2. Van Cleemput J. 5. Walsh S.	47. Cagro W. 30. Huiberts D. 27. Keita C. 9. Kosiah A. 42. Martha A. 71. Matijas D. (G) 11. Nzouango F. 7. Reyners T. 26. Tshimanga D. 28. Weymans M.
Coaches
Hasi B.	Kuyt D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Fayed O. 🟨,
20', Mrabti K. 🟨,
22', Vanheusden Z. 🟨,
34', Storm N. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Touba A. ⚽, Schoofs R. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', Fayed O. ↓, Keita C. ↑,
48', Bafdili B. 🟨,
56', Bafdili B. ↓, Ouattara A. ↑,
70', Vanheusden Z. ↓, Hairemans G. ↑,
70', Belghali R. ↓, Van Cleemput J. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Raman B. ⚽, Hairemans G. (A),
76', Raman B. ↓, Pflucke P. ↑,
76', Storm N. ↓, Raemaekers T. ↑,
78', Dagba C. ↓, Cagro W. ↑,
78', Henderson E. ↓, Reyners T. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 0, Pflucke P. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 16 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mechelen won 4.

Mechelen is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Beerschot Wilrijk is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Beerschot Wilrijk could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Beerschot Wilrijk have a series of home games.

In this match Mechelen is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Mechelen: Falchou R. (Surgery)

There are questionable in Mechelen: Antonio B. (Knee Injury) Konate M. (Knee Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Mechelen won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:9 (average 1.4:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Mechelen won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:7 (average 2.2:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KV Mechelen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
08.11.24	Sint-Truidense - KV Mechelen	2:1 ✺
02.11.24	KV Mechelen - Saint-Gilloise	1:1 ✺
Belgian Cup
30.10.24	KV Mechelen - RAAL La Louvière	3:1 ET ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
26.10.24	Dender EH - KV Mechelen	2:5 ✺
20.10.24	KV Mechelen - Kortrijk	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LTWWW
- FCO Beerschot Wilrijk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
10.11.24	Beerschot Wilrijk - Club Brugge	2:2 ✺
03.11.24	Beerschot Wilrijk - Gent	0:0 ✺
Belgian Cup
30.10.24	Beerschot Wilrijk - RFC Liège	3:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
25.10.24	Kortrijk - Beerschot Wilrijk	1:0 ✺
18.10.24	Beerschot Wilrijk - Anderlecht	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.2 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
06.02.22	KV Mechelen - Beerschot Wilrijk	3:2
17.10.21	Beerschot Wilrijk - KV Mechelen	0:1
14.02.21	Beerschot Wilrijk - KV Mechelen	1:2
Belgian Cup
11.02.21	Beerschot Wilrijk - KV Mechelen	0:1
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
29.11.20	KV Mechelen - Beerschot Wilrijk	2:3
Belgian Challenger Pro League
16.03.19	KV Mechelen - Beerschot Wilrijk	2:1
09.03.19	Beerschot Wilrijk - KV Mechelen	0:0

Upcoming Matches