Match Info

Date: 11 December 2021, Saturday


	Mouscron		Lommel

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.55	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3
	2.33	3.45	2.8	Watch
	2.21	3.25	2.85
	2.49	3.54	2.59
	2.3	3.3	2.75
	2.38	3.5	2.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.08)	3.35 ↓ (3.43)	2.77 ↓ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mouscron
39.5%

Draw
27.4%

Lommel
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

26.8%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

20.4%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mouscron has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Lommel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mouscron than the current prediction. (+18.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mouscron, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lommel than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lommel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mouscron - Lommel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Mouscron is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lommel is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Mouscron could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Mouscron will have a poor advantage in this game.

Mouscron will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Mouscron won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Mouscron won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royal Excel Mouscron
Belgian Challenger Pro League
05.12.21	Westerlo - Mouscron	4:3 ✺
28.11.21	Mouscron - K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	2:1 ✺
19.11.21	Beveren - Mouscron	0:2 ✺
06.11.21	Mouscron - Deinze	2:0 ✺
29.10.21	Excelsior Virton - Mouscron	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25 LWWWW
- Lommel SK
Belgian Challenger Pro League
05.12.21	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar - Lommel	2:2 ✺
Belgian Cup
01.12.21	Lommel - Gent	0:2 ✺
Belgian Challenger Pro League
27.11.21	Lommel - Westerlo	0:1 ✺
21.11.21	Deinze - Lommel	3:3 ✺
05.11.21	Lommel - Excelsior Virton	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
17.10.21	Lommel - Mouscron	3:0
21.08.21	Mouscron - Lommel	0:1
08.03.14	Lommel - Mouscron	3:1
12.10.13	Mouscron - Lommel	2:1
Belgian Cup
24.08.13	Mouscron - Lommel	2:3 penalties
Belgian Challenger Pro League
05.04.13	Lommel - Mouscron	4:1

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