Match Info

AFRICA: Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification - Round 5

Date: 15 November 2024, Friday

Location: Estádio do Zimpeto (Maputo)

Referee: Mimisa D. (Ken)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Mali	ORTM
Mozambique	TVM 1
Portugal	Sport TV3
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Tanzania	Azam Sports 3


	Mozambique		Mali

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.5	2.85	2.05
	3.75	3	2.15	Watch
	3.57	2.91	2.2
	3.64	3.01	2.19	Watch
	3.8	3	1.91
	3.76	3.14	2.24	Watch
	3.75	3	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↓ (3.84)	2.99 ↓ (3.1)	2.13 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mozambique
25.2%

Draw
31.1%

Mali
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

29.3%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mozambique has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Mali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	38.5%	30.8%

Mozambique - Mali Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Mozambique will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Mali will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 12% – 65%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ernan (G) Associacao Black Bulls 2. Nanani UD Songo 17. Mexer Bandirmaspor 15. Mandava R. Atl. Madrid 5. Langa B. Almeria 21. Guima Igdir FK 4. Nene Associacao Black Bulls 20. Catamo G. Sporting Lisbon 7. Domingues (C) UD Songo 10. Bauque C. 13. Ratifo S. Chemie Leipzig	16. Diarra D. (G) Young Africans 5. Diaby A. St. Gallen 15. Fofana M. Amiens SC 13. Doucoure F. Red Star 7. Nene D. Salzburg 12. Camara M. Al-Sadd 23. Dieng A. Al Kholood 3. Dante A. Arouca 8. Doumbia K. Brest 10. Bissouma Y. (C) Tottenham 9. Toure E. B. VfB Stuttgart
Substitutes
11. Alexandre M. Associacao Black Bulls 19. Alfandega C. Associacao Black Bulls 16. Amade A. Septemvri Sofia 6. Amadu UD Songo 8. Bonde J. Ferroviario Beira 12. Fazito (G) Ferroviario Nampula 3. Fernando Associacao Black Bulls 18. Gildo Academica 9. Macamo E. Desportivo de Nacala 14. Martinho Associacao Black Bulls 23. Shaquille Sagrada 22. Urrubal I. (G)	19. Cisse I. Schalke 21. Diallo O. Djoliba 1. Diawara I. (G) AIK 17. Doumbia M. Watford 20. Koita S. CSKA Moscow 22. Koita Y. (G) Djoliba 2. Konate C. O. Clermont 18. Kone I. Al Okhdood 6. Niakate S. Braga 4. Sangare M. Rapid Vienna 11. Sissoko I. St Etienne 14. Traore A. Ferencvaros
Coaches
Francisco Q. C. J.	Saintfiet T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Doumbia K. ⚽, Bissouma Y. (A),
23', Camara M. 🟨,
25', Nene 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Domingues ↓, Amade A. ↑,
54', Mandava R. 🟨,
54', Bauque C. ↓, Gildo ↑,
67', Doumbia K. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
67', Camara M. ↓, Sissoko I. ↑,
69', Nene ↓, Fernando ↑,
69', Ratifo S. ↓, Macamo E. ↑,
78', Toure E. B. ↓, Kone I. ↑,
78', Nene D. ↓, Koita S. ↑,
90', Guima ↓, Alfandega C. ↑,
90+7', Diarra D. 🟨,
90+9', Bissouma Y. 🟨,

Preview

Mali will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mozambique won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mozambique
Africa Cup of Nations
14.10.24	Eswatini - Mozambique	0:3 ✺
11.10.24	Mozambique - Eswatini	1:1 ✺
10.09.24	Mozambique - Guinea Bissau	2:1 ✺
06.09.24	Mali - Mozambique	1:1 ✺
COSAFA Cup
07.07.24	Comoros - Mozambique	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WTWTW
- Mali
Africa Cup of Nations
15.10.24	Guinea Bissau - Mali	0:0 ✺
11.10.24	Mali - Guinea Bissau	1:0 ✺
10.09.24	Eswatini - Mali	0:1 ✺
06.09.24	Mali - Mozambique	1:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
11.06.24	Madagascar - Mali	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
06.09.24	Mali - Mozambique	1:1
African Nations Championship
19.01.14	Mozambique - Mali	1:2

Mozambique - Mali: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide