Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 16

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Popondetta Park (Sydney)


	Mt Druitt Town Rangers		Western Sydney Wanderers U23

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3.75	2.8
	2.07	3.8	2.8
	2.16	3.95	2.75
	2.14	4.09	2.83	Watch
	2.1	3.75	2.8
	2.07	3.85	2.81	Watch
	2.07	3.8	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.65)	3.86 ↓ (4)	2.8 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mt Druitt Town Rangers
43.6%

Draw
23.7%

Western Sydney Wanderers U23
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

22.7%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

21.4%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mt Druitt Town Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mt Druitt Town Rangers's performance.

Western Sydney Wanderers U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Western Sydney Wanderers U23 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mt Druitt Town Rangers than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mt Druitt Town Rangers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Sydney Wanderers U23 than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Western Sydney Wanderers U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Mt Druitt Town Rangers - Western Sydney Wanderers U23 Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mt Druitt Rangers will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Western Sydney U23 will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Vasiliou L. ⚽,
44', Pedrinho 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 1 - 1, Lual A. ⚽,
73', 1 - 2, Haddad E. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone NPL NSW (Relegation) and 14).

Mt Druitt Rangers has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Western Sydney U23 is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Western Sydney U23 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mt Druitt Rangers won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mt Druitt Town Rangers
Australian NPL NSW
17.05.25	North West Sydney Spirit - Mt Druitt Town Rangers	5:0 ✺
10.05.25	Mt Druitt Town Rangers - Sutherland Sharks	0:0 ✺
04.05.25	Sydney United - Mt Druitt Town Rangers	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Wollongong Wolves - Mt Druitt Town Rangers	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Mt Druitt Town Rangers - Blacktown City	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL
- Western Sydney Wanderers U23
Australian NPL NSW
17.05.25	Western Sydney Wanderers U23 - Central Coast Mariners U23	2:2 ✺
09.05.25	St George Saints - Western Sydney Wanderers U23	0:3 ✺
04.05.25	Western Sydney Wanderers U23 - Blacktown City	0:4 ✺
26.04.25	St. George City - Western Sydney Wanderers U23	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Rockdale Ilinden - Western Sydney Wanderers U23	8:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
07.02.25	Western Sydney Wanderers U23 - Mt Druitt Town Rangers	1:1

Mt Druitt Town Rangers - Western Sydney Wanderers U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide